2010 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 21, 2010 · Candlestick Park

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

San Francisco 49ers

SF -3.5 upsetU 41 ✓25 mph wind49ers closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21–0 — never really in doubt late. Played in 25 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Troy SmithQB

16/31, 148 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-20.0 expected points added · -13.2% completion over expected

Passing · TB

Josh FreemanQB

13/20, 136 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

5.0 expected points added · +5.0% completion over expected

Rushing · TB

LeGarrette BlountRB

26 att, 82 yds, 0 TD

-5.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TB

Cadillac WilliamsRB

7 att, 51 yds, 1 TD

3.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · TB

Mike WilliamsWR

3/3 for 54 yds, 1 TD

14% of team targets · 5.7 expected points added

Receiving · SF

Josh MorganWR

4/6 for 51 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · -8.2 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	Sacked	EPA
Josh Freeman	13/20	136	2	2	5.0
Josh Johnson	1/1	7	0	0	0.5
Micheal Spurlock	0/1	0	0	0	-2.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
LeGarrette Blount	26	82	3.2	0	-5.4
Cadillac Williams	7	51	7.3	1	3.9
Josh Freeman	5	15	3.0	0	0.9
Josh Johnson	1	7	7.0	0	0.9
Earnest Graham	3	7	2.3	0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Mike Williams	3	3	54	1	14%	5.7
Kellen Winslow	4	8	34	0	36%	-0.6
Maurice Stovall	1	2	22	0	9%	1.2
Arrelious Benn	2	3	14	0	14%	0.3
Sammie Stroughter	2	3	11	0	14%	0.3
Cadillac Williams	1	1	7	0	5%	0.6
Donald Penn	1	1	1	1	5%	1.6
Earnest Graham	0	1	0	0	5%	-2.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Cody Grimm	5	2	0.0	0
Geno Hayes	4	1	0.0	0
E.J. Biggers	3	1	0.0	0
Barrett Ruud	4	0	0.0	1
Sean Jones	3	1	0.0	1
Roy Miller	3	0	0.0	0
Dekoda Watson	3	0	0.0	1
Gerald McCoy	1	2	1.0	1
Adam Hayward	3	0	1.0	0
Arrelious Benn	2	0	0.0	0

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Troy Smith	16/31	148	0	1	6	-20.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Troy Smith	5	45	9.0	1.3
Frank Gore	12	23	1.9	-5.4
Delanie Walker	1	3	3.0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Josh Morgan	4	6	51	19%	-8.2
Frank Gore	5	8	37	26%	-0.7
Delanie Walker	3	4	27	13%	0.5
Michael Crabtree	1	2	15	6%	0.0
Kyle Williams	1	1	8	3%	0.2
Ted Ginn	1	4	7	13%	-2.7
Vernon Davis	1	3	3	10%	-3.0
Dominique Zeigler	0	2	0	6%	-3.5
Moran Norris	0	1	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Patrick Willis	9	4	2.0	0
Takeo Spikes	8	4	0.0	0
Dashon Goldson	5	2	0.0	0
Manny Lawson	4	2	0.0	0
Nate Clements	2	3	0.0	0
Parys Haralson	3	0	0.0	0
Demetric Evans	3	0	0.0	0
Justin Smith	3	0	0.0	0
Shawntae Spencer	2	0	0.0	1
Isaac Sopoaga	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SF -3.5
Closing total: 41
TB moneyline: +179
SF moneyline: -199

49ers closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 41; the game landed 21 — under by 20.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Candlestick Park
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 54°F, wind 25 mph
Referee: John Parry
Rest: TB 7 days · SF 7 days
Coaches: Raheem Morris vs Mike Singletary

Wind at 25 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.