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2011 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2011 · Arrowhead Stadium

Denver BroncosWinner

17

Kansas City Chiefs

10

KC -3 upsetU 42 ✓15 mph wind

Denver Broncos 17–10. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Matt CasselQB

13/28, 93 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-15.0 expected points added · -11.7% completion over expected

Passing · DEN

Tim TebowTE

2/8, 69 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

2.5 expected points added · -27.0% completion over expected

Rushing · DEN

Lance BallRB

30 att, 96 yds, 0 TD

-3.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · KC

Jackie BattleRB

9 att, 61 yds, 0 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DEN

Eric DeckerWR

1/3 for 56 yds, 1 TD

38% of team targets · 5.1 expected points added

Receiving · KC

Dexter McClusterWR

6/8 for 48 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 0.6 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Denver Broncos

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tim Tebow2/8691002.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Lance Ball30963.20-3.7
Knowshon Moreno45213.004.2
Tim Tebow9434.810.3
Eddie Royal3196.300.9
Spencer Larsen5173.400.2
Willis McGahee4174.300.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Eric Decker1356138%5.1
Matt Willis1113013%1.4
Lance Ball010013%-0.7
Eddie Royal020025%-1.5
Dante Rosario010013%-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
D.J. Williams721.000
Joe Mays800.001
Chris Harris800.001
Von Miller431.500
Andre' Goodman210.000
Quinton Carter210.000
Champ Bailey200.000
Robert Ayers110.000
Brian Dawkins200.001
Brodrick Bunkley200.000

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matt Cassel13/2893104-15.0
Tyler Palko5/6470001.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jackie Battle9616.801.2
Dexter McCluster8455.601.7
Matt Cassel2168.002.2
Tyler Palko188.000.3
Thomas Jones441.00-2.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Dexter McCluster6848024%0.6
Steve Breaston4633018%-2.8
Leonard Pope3518015%-2.2
Dwayne Bowe2717021%-3.2
Jon Baldwin1515015%-0.4
Le'Ron McClain22916%1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jovan Belcher820.000
Derrick Johnson720.000
Glenn Dorsey510.000
Tyson Jackson510.000
Justin Houston500.000
Reshard Langford320.000
Tamba Hali220.000
Brandon Flowers310.000
Kendrick Lewis400.002
Kelly Gregg300.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
KC -3
Closing total
42
DEN moneyline
+166
KC moneyline
-184

Chiefs closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 42; the game landed 27 — under by 15.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Arrowhead Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
67°F, wind 15 mph
Referee
Ron Winter
Rest
DEN 7 days · KC 7 days
Coaches
John Fox vs Todd Haley

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.