2011 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2011 · Soldier Field

Detroit Lions

Chicago BearsWinner

CHI -2.5 ✓O 42.5 ✓22 mph windBears closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Chicago Bears 37–13 — never really in doubt late. Played in 22 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Matthew StaffordQB

35/66, 338 yds, 1 TD, 4 INT

-18.6 expected points added · -4.8% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Jay CutlerQB

9/19, 123 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-3.1 expected points added · -8.6% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

Matt ForteRB

18 att, 64 yds, 1 TD

-1.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Maurice MorrisRB

10 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

-0.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Nate BurlesonWR

8/9 for 83 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 0.8 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Titus YoungWR

9/11 for 83 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 4.7 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matthew Stafford	35/66	338	1	4	3	-18.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Maurice Morris	10	44	4.4	-0.6
Kevin Smith	4	19	4.8	0.0
Nate Burleson	1	10	10.0	1.3
Stefan Logan	1	5	5.0	0.4
Matthew Stafford	2	1	0.5	-0.4
Keiland Williams	1	1	1.0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Nate Burleson	8	9	83	0	14%	0.8
Titus Young	9	11	83	0	17%	4.7
Calvin Johnson	7	20	81	0	31%	-21.6
Brandon Pettigrew	5	9	38	0	14%	1.3
Tony Scheffler	3	8	37	1	12%	-4.3
Kevin Smith	2	2	10	0	3%	0.6
Maurice Morris	1	2	6	0	3%	-0.5
Maurice Stovall	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.5
Rashied Davis	0	1	0	0	2%	-3.7
Will Heller	0	2	0	0	3%	-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Sacks	PD
Stephen Tulloch	7	0.0	0
Justin Durant	7	0.0	0
DeAndre Levy	6	0.0	0
Lawrence Jackson	4	1.0	0
Aaron Berry	4	0.0	0
Ndamukong Suh	3	0.0	1
Eric Wright	2	0.0	1
Louis Delmas	2	0.0	1
Sammie Lee Hill	2	0.0	0
Amari Spievey	2	0.0	0

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jay Cutler	9/19	123	0	0	2	-3.1
Matt Forte	0/1	0	0	0	0	-0.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Matt Forte	18	64	3.6	1	-1.5
Marion Barber	13	27	2.1	0	-5.7
Jay Cutler	4	18	4.5	0	-5.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Earl Bennett	6	6	81	30%	6.8
Sam Hurd	1	1	21	5%	0.8
Johnny Knox	1	2	18	10%	-1.0
Matt Forte	1	5	3	25%	-0.6
Roy Williams	0	2	0	10%	-2.0
Matt Spaeth	0	1	0	5%	-1.2
Kellen Davis	0	3	0	15%	-3.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Tim Jennings	11	1	0.0	1	1
Brian Urlacher	8	1	0.0	0	1
Lance Briggs	7	2	0.0	0	0
Charles Tillman	5	0	0.0	1	4
Nick Roach	3	0	0.0	0	2
Brandon Meriweather	3	0	0.0	0	0
Major Wright	2	1	0.0	1	2
Julius Peppers	3	0	1.0	0	1
Brian Iwuh	2	0	0.0	0	0
Amobi Okoye	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CHI -2.5
Closing total: 42.5
DET moneyline: +122
CHI moneyline: -135

Bears closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 50 — over by 7.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Soldier Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 69°F, wind 22 mph
Referee: Peter Morelli
Rest: DET 14 days · CHI 6 days
Coaches: Jim Schwartz vs Lovie Smith

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 22 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.