2011 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2011 · Sun Life Stadium

Buffalo Bills

Miami DolphinsWinner

MIA -3 ✓U 44 ✓15 mph windDolphins closed -3 and covered, winning by 27.

Miami Dolphins 35–8 — never really in doubt late. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

Ryan FitzpatrickQB

20/39, 209 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-14.1 expected points added · -7.8% completion over expected

Passing · MIA

Matt MooreQB

14/20, 160 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

6.7 expected points added · +12.4% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Daniel ThomasRB

15 att, 50 yds, 0 TD

-2.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Reggie BushRB

15 att, 32 yds, 1 TD

-3.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Scott ChandlerTE

5/6 for 71 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 5.3 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

Charles ClayTE

4/4 for 69 yds, 1 TD

20% of team targets · 6.5 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Fitzpatrick	20/39	209	0	2	2	-14.1
Tyler Thigpen	1/5	6	0	0	0	-3.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Fred Jackson	7	17	2.4	-2.0
Ryan Fitzpatrick	7	16	2.3	-3.2
Johnny White	2	6	3.0	-0.4
C.J. Spiller	3	2	0.7	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Scott Chandler	5	6	71	15%	5.3
Fred Jackson	5	5	50	13%	3.1
Brad Smith	3	4	35	10%	-1.3
Naaman Roosevelt	2	2	28	5%	3.0
C.J. Spiller	2	4	18	10%	-0.2
Steve Johnson	2	8	16	20%	-6.7
David Nelson	1	4	0	10%	-8.2
Donald Jones	0	1	0	3%	-0.6
Ruvell Martin	0	2	0	5%	-1.5
Johnny White	1	4	-3	10%	-2.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Da'Norris Searcy	9	2	0.0	0
Kelvin Sheppard	6	1	0.0	0
Nick Barnett	6	1	1.0	0
Jairus Byrd	5	0	0.0	0
Bryan Scott	4	1	0.0	1
Kellen Heard	3	0	0.0	0
Garrison Sanborn	2	0	0.0	0
Torell Troup	2	0	0.0	0
Marcell Dareus	2	0	0.0	0
Drayton Florence	1	1	0.0	0

Miami Dolphins

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Moore	14/20	160	3	0	1	6.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Daniel Thomas	15	50	3.3	0	-2.8
Reggie Bush	15	32	2.1	1	-3.3
Brian Hartline	1	9	9.0	0	1.8
Matt Moore	3	2	0.7	0	-2.3
Lex Hilliard	1	2	2.0	0	0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Charles Clay	4	4	69	1	20%	6.5
Reggie Bush	4	5	34	0	25%	-1.2
Davone Bess	2	3	25	1	15%	4.2
Brian Hartline	1	2	19	0	10%	1.3
Anthony Fasano	2	2	8	1	10%	0.9
Brandon Marshall	1	3	5	0	15%	-1.9
Daniel Thomas	0	1	0	0	5%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Reshad Jones	4	1	0.0	0	1
Will Allen	5	0	0.0	0	0
Karlos Dansby	4	0	0.0	0	0
Sean Smith	3	1	0.0	0	0
Yeremiah Bell	3	1	0.0	1	2
Nolan Carroll	4	0	0.0	1	1
Tyrone Culver	3	0	0.0	0	0
Vontae Davis	3	0	0.0	0	1
Austin Spitler	3	0	0.0	0	0
Jared Odrick	2	1	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: MIA -3
Closing total: 44
BUF moneyline: +141
MIA moneyline: -156

Dolphins closed -3 and covered, winning by 27.

Total closed 44; the game landed 43 — under by 1.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Sun Life Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 80°F, wind 15 mph
Referee: Walt Coleman
Rest: BUF 7 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches: Chan Gailey vs Tony Sparano

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.