2011 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 11, 2011 · University of Phoenix Stadium

San Francisco 49ers

Arizona CardinalsWinner

SF -3.5 upsetO 39 ✓Dome49ers closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Arizona Cardinals 21–19 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

John SkeltonQB

19/28, 282 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

4.1 expected points added · +1.8% completion over expected

Passing · SF

Alex SmithQB

18/37, 175 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-9.3 expected points added · -12.3% completion over expected

Rushing · SF

Frank GoreRB

10 att, 72 yds, 1 TD

1.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

Beanie WellsRB

15 att, 27 yds, 0 TD

-6.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Larry FitzgeraldWR

7/9 for 149 yds, 1 TD

31% of team targets · 5.6 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Early DoucetWR

3/4 for 73 yds, 1 TD

14% of team targets · 6.5 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Alex Smith	18/37	175	0	0	5	-9.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Frank Gore	10	72	7.2	1	1.7
Kendall Hunter	8	20	2.5	0	-3.8
Kyle Williams	1	7	7.0	0	0.4
Alex Smith	1	-3	-3.0	0	-1.6
Delanie Walker	1	-6	-6.0	0	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Michael Crabtree	7	12	63	32%	-1.9
Kyle Williams	4	6	42	16%	1.1
Vernon Davis	1	3	32	8%	-0.5
Kendall Hunter	2	3	19	8%	2.5
Ted Ginn	2	6	14	16%	-1.9
Bruce Miller	2	2	5	5%	-0.8
Frank Gore	0	1	0	3%	-1.3
Braylon Edwards	0	2	0	5%	-1.2
Delanie Walker	0	2	0	5%	-1.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Larry Grant	10	1	0.0	0	1
Donte Whitner	4	1	0.0	0	1
Tarell Brown	4	0	0.0	1	1
Aldon Smith	4	0	1.0	0	0
Ahmad Brooks	2	1	0.0	0	0
Dashon Goldson	2	1	0.0	1	1
NaVorro Bowman	2	1	0.0	0	0
Ray McDonald	2	0	0.0	0	0
Justin Smith	2	0	1.0	0	0
Isaac Sopoaga	2	0	0.0	0	0

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
John Skelton	19/28	282	3	2	1	4.1
Kevin Kolb	1/1	2	0	0	1	-2.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Beanie Wells	15	27	1.8	-6.3
John Skelton	6	25	4.2	-3.5
LaRod Stephens-Howling	2	3	1.5	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Larry Fitzgerald	7	9	149	1	31%	5.6
Early Doucet	3	4	73	1	14%	6.5
LaRod Stephens-Howling	2	2	22	0	7%	1.0
Jeff King	3	4	16	0	14%	-1.5
Chester Taylor	2	2	13	0	7%	-0.7
Andre Roberts	2	5	8	1	17%	-4.4
Beanie Wells	1	1	3	0	3%	-0.6
Rob Housler	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.7
DeMarco Sampson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Richard Marshall	4	3	0.0	0
Patrick Peterson	5	0	1.0	0
A.J. Jefferson	4	0	0.0	0
Daryl Washington	4	0	1.0	0
Paris Lenon	1	3	0.0	0
Darnell Dockett	3	1	1.0	0
Hamza Abdullah	3	0	0.0	0
Stewart Bradley	1	2	0.0	0
Rashad Johnson	2	1	0.0	0
Sam Acho	2	1	0.0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SF -3.5
Closing total: 39
SF moneyline: -165
ARI moneyline: +149

49ers closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 39; the game landed 40 — over by 1.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: University of Phoenix Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · grass
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Alberto Riveron
Rest: SF 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches: Jim Harbaugh vs Ken Whisenhunt

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.