2011 Week 16 · Sat, Dec 24, 2011 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Denver Broncos
14
at
Buffalo BillsWinner
40
DEN -3 upsetO 43.5 ✓30°F
Buffalo Bills 40–14 — never really in doubt late.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · BUF
15/27, 196 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-3.5 expected points added · -8.9% completion over expected
Passing · DEN
13/29, 185 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT
-24.4 expected points added · -7.6% completion over expected
Receiving · DEN
4/8 for 76 yds, 0 TD
29% of team targets · 0.0 expected points added
Full stat lines
Box score
Denver Broncos
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Tebow | 13/29 | 185 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -24.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willis McGahee | 15 | 64 | 4.3 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Tim Tebow | 10 | 34 | 3.4 | 1 | 5.7 |
| Jeremiah Johnson | 6 | 23 | 3.8 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Lance Ball | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demaryius Thomas | 4 | 8 | 76 | 0 | 29% | 0.0 |
| Dante Rosario | 2 | 2 | 46 | 0 | 7% | 3.1 |
| Daniel Fells | 2 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 7% | 1.9 |
| Jeremiah Johnson | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 7% | 1.7 |
| Matt Willis | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 7% | 0.1 |
| Virgil Green | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4% | 0.8 |
| Eddie Royal | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11% | -5.7 |
| Willis McGahee | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.8 |
| Lance Ball | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11% | -3.1 |
| Eric Decker | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14% | -10.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Harris | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Bruton | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Wesley Woodyard | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Champ Bailey | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brian Dawkins | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre' Goodman | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brodrick Bunkley | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elvis Dumervil | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Thomas | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Wilhite | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 15/27 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Spiller | 16 | 111 | 6.9 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Tashard Choice | 9 | 27 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 3.1 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Johnson | 4 | 7 | 92 | 0 | 26% | 3.9 |
| David Nelson | 3 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 19% | 0.3 |
| C.J. Spiller | 2 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 11% | 1.1 |
| Kevin Brock | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 4% | 1.2 |
| Derek Hagan | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 7% | 0.1 |
| Brad Smith | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | 0.2 |
| Mike Caussin | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4% | 0.0 |
| Scott Chandler | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -0.9 |
| Tashard Choice | 1 | 5 | -8 | 0 | 19% | -7.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kelsay | 4 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jairus Byrd | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kelvin Sheppard | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arthur Moats | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Barnett | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drayton Florence | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Rogers | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| George Wilson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcell Dareus | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Williams | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- DEN -3
- Closing total
- 43.5
- DEN moneyline
- -140
- BUF moneyline
- +127
Broncos closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 43.5; the game landed 54 — over by 10.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ralph Wilson Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · a turf
- Kickoff weather
- 30°F, wind 2 mph
- Referee
- Walt Anderson
- Rest
- DEN 6 days · BUF 6 days
- Coaches
- John Fox vs Chan Gailey