2011 Week 16 · Sat, Dec 24, 2011 · Gillette Stadium
Miami Dolphins
24
at
New England PatriotsWinner
27
NE -7.5 no coverO 49 ✓30°F
New England Patriots 27–24 — decided on the final possessions.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NE
27/46, 304 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
2.0 expected points added · -8.0% completion over expected
Passing · MIA
16/32, 281 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
9.7 expected points added · -2.6% completion over expected
Receiving · MIA
6/11 for 143 yds, 1 TD
34% of team targets · 8.1 expected points added
Full stat lines
Box score
Miami Dolphins
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Moore | 16/32 | 281 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bush | 22 | 113 | 5.1 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Brandon Marshall | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Daniel Thomas | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Matt Moore | 3 | -8 | -2.7 | 0 | -5.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marshall | 6 | 11 | 143 | 1 | 34% | 8.1 |
| Brian Hartline | 4 | 8 | 72 | 0 | 25% | 4.8 |
| Davone Bess | 3 | 5 | 39 | 1 | 16% | 2.1 |
| Reggie Bush | 2 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 9% | 1.9 |
| Charles Clay | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9% | 0.7 |
| Lex Hilliard | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.3 |
| Will Yeatman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.8 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlos Dansby | 9 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yeremiah Bell | 8 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Burnett | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone Culver | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reshad Jones | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Taylor | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marvin Mitchell | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nolan Carroll | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Will Allen | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Soliai | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 27/46 | 304 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2.0 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevan Ridley | 13 | 64 | 4.9 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Danny Woodhead | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Tom Brady | 9 | 17 | 1.9 | 2 | 3.8 |
| BenJarvus Green-Ellis | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Wes Welker | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Aaron Hernandez | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Welker | 12 | 19 | 138 | 0 | 41% | 2.5 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 7 | 9 | 78 | 0 | 20% | 3.8 |
| Deion Branch | 3 | 9 | 37 | 1 | 20% | -2.0 |
| Aaron Hernandez | 4 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 13% | 2.8 |
| Chad Johnson | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 4% | 0.8 |
| Stevan Ridley | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerod Mayo | 3 | 9 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin McCourty | 4 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 5 |
| James Ihedigbo | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dane Fletcher | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rob Ninkovich | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Arrington | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Love | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vince Wilfork | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Jones | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaun Ellis | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -7.5
- Closing total
- 49
- MIA moneyline
- +305
- NE moneyline
- -350
Patriots closed -7.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 49; the game landed 51 — over by 2.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Gillette Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 30°F, wind 7 mph
- Referee
- Alberto Riveron
- Rest
- MIA 6 days · NE 6 days
- Coaches
- Todd Bowles vs Bill Belichick
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.