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2011 Week 16 · Sat, Dec 24, 2011 · CenturyLink Field
19
17
San Francisco 49ers 19–17 — decided on the final possessions.
Who moved the needle
Passing · SF
14/26, 179 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
0.6 expected points added · -3.8% completion over expected
Passing · SEA
15/28, 163 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-4.9 expected points added · -2.8% completion over expected
-0.1 expected points added on the ground
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Smith | 14/26 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Gore | 23 | 83 | 3.6 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Kendall Hunter | 12 | 73 | 6.1 | 0 | 1.8 |
| Alex Smith | 5 | 22 | 4.4 | 0 | 2.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Crabtree | 5 | 6 | 85 | 0 | 23% | 3.8 |
| Vernon Davis | 4 | 8 | 54 | 0 | 31% | 2.8 |
| Frank Gore | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 4% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Grant | 5 | 6 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| NaVorro Bowman | 6 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Isaac Sopoaga | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray McDonald |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarvaris Jackson | 15/28 | 163 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn Lynch | 21 | 107 | 5.1 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
49ers closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 2.
Total closed 36.5; the game landed 36 — under by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 0.9 |
| Kendall Hunter | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 12% | -0.1 |
| Braylon Edwards | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 8% | 0.0 |
| Kyle Williams | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19% | -4.2 |
| Bruce Miller | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4% | -0.2 |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Aldon Smith | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Smith | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dashon Goldson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donte Whitner | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruce Miller | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ahmad Brooks | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.4 |
| Leon Washington | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Justin Forsett | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Tarvaris Jackson | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Lockette | 1 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 7% | 3.0 |
| Marshawn Lynch | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 7% | 0.9 |
| Justin Forsett | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 7% | 0.3 |
| Ben Obomanu | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 7% | 0.8 |
| Doug Baldwin | 2 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 26% | -1.1 |
| Golden Tate | 3 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 22% | -2.0 |
| Deon Butler | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 7% | 1.7 |
| Zach Miller | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 11% | -0.1 |
| Anthony McCoy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Chancellor | 9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Hawthorne | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Mebane | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| K.J. Wright | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Clemons | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Browner | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leroy Hill | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alan Branch | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Earl Thomas | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Richard Sherman | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
