2011 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 1, 2012 · Gillette Stadium
Buffalo Bills
21
at
New England PatriotsWinner
49
NE -10 ✓O 49.5 ✓
New England Patriots 49–21 — never really in doubt late.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NE
23/35, 338 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
13.6 expected points added · -1.1% completion over expected
Passing · BUF
29/46, 307 yds, 2 TD, 4 INT
-10.2 expected points added · -0.1% completion over expected
Receiving · NE
7/11 for 138 yds, 1 TD
31% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added
Full stat lines
Box score
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 29/46 | 307 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -10.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Spiller | 13 | 60 | 4.6 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | 0 | -0.4 |
| George Wilson | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Tashard Choice | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 1 | 1.7 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Hagan | 7 | 10 | 89 | 0 | 22% | 2.7 |
| Ruvell Martin | 4 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 11% | -0.9 |
| C.J. Spiller | 4 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 17% | -4.3 |
| Steve Johnson | 4 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 15% | 2.9 |
| Naaman Roosevelt | 3 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 13% | -1.7 |
| Scott Chandler | 3 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 7% | 1.9 |
| David Nelson | 2 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 9% | -7.0 |
| Tashard Choice | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4% | -1.9 |
| Kevin Brock | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2% | 0.6 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Barnett | 3 | 8 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| George Wilson | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Scott | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelvin Sheppard | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kellen Heard | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Rogers | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Kelsay | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jairus Byrd | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arthur Moats | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Williams | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 23/35 | 338 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13.6 |
| Brian Hoyer | 1/1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevan Ridley | 15 | 81 | 5.4 | 0 | 2.2 |
| Aaron Hernandez | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 0 | 1.8 |
| BenJarvus Green-Ellis | 7 | 22 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.1 |
| Julian Edelman | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Danny Woodhead | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Brian Hoyer | 3 | -2 | -0.7 | 0 | 0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hernandez | 7 | 11 | 138 | 1 | 31% | 8.2 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 8 | 10 | 108 | 2 | 28% | 8.0 |
| BenJarvus Green-Ellis | 1 | 1 | 53 | 0 | 3% | 3.7 |
| Wes Welker | 6 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 31% | -0.3 |
| Danny Woodhead | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 6% | 0.1 |
| Chad Johnson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerod Mayo | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antwaun Molden | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Patrick Chung | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Anderson | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Arrington | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dane Fletcher | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Edelman | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin McCourty | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Nate Jones | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sergio Brown | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -10
- Closing total
- 49.5
- BUF moneyline
- +474
- NE moneyline
- -568
Patriots closed -10 and covered, winning by 28.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 70 — over by 20.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Gillette Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 51°F, wind 5 mph
- Referee
- Bill Leavy
- Rest
- BUF 8 days · NE 8 days
- Coaches
- Chan Gailey vs Bill Belichick
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.