2011 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 1, 2012 · Lambeau Field
Detroit Lions
41
Green Bay PackersWinner
45
Green Bay Packers 45–41. Played in 20 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · DET
36/59, 520 yds, 5 TD, 2 INT
21.2 expected points added · +3.1% completion over expected
Passing · GB
31/44, 480 yds, 6 TD, 1 INT
18.8 expected points added · +7.9% completion over expected
Receiving · DET
11/17 for 244 yds, 1 TD
29% of team targets · 14.9 expected points added
Full stat lines
Box score
Detroit Lions
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 36/59 | 520 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Smith | 9 | 35 | 3.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Stefan Logan | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Maurice Morris | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Nate Burleson | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 1.1 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Johnson | 11 | 17 | 244 | 1 | 29% | 14.9 |
| Brandon Pettigrew | 7 | 11 | 116 | 0 | 19% | 2.0 |
| Tony Scheffler | 4 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 10% | 8.4 |
| Nate Burleson | 6 | 11 | 45 | 0 | 19% | -4.7 |
| Kevin Smith | 4 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 10% | -4.0 |
| Titus Young | 4 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 14% | 0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Durant | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeAndre Levy | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alphonso Smith | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Amari Spievey | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Wright | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sammie Lee Hill | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Fairley | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephen Tulloch | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lawrence Jackson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Vanden Bosch | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Green Bay Packers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Flynn | 31/44 | 480 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grant | 12 | 48 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Brandon Saine | 8 | 28 | 3.5 | 0 | -1.4 |
| John Kuhn | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Matt Flynn | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordy Nelson | 9 | 15 | 162 | 3 | 34% | 6.2 |
| James Jones | 6 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 18% | 3.0 |
| Ryan Grant | 1 | 3 | 80 | 1 | 7% | 5.3 |
| Jermichael Finley | 7 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 18% | 7.7 |
| Donald Driver | 2 | 4 | 52 | 1 | 9% | 4.7 |
| Brandon Saine | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 7% | -0.0 |
| John Kuhn | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 5% | -1.3 |
| D.J. Williams | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2% | 0.3 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Williams | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Charlie Peprah | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Burnett | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brad Jones | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Shields | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| A.J. Hawk | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Desmond Bishop | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Walden | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarrett Bush | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| D.J. Smith | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- DET -6.5
- Closing total
- 41.5
- DET moneyline
- -260
- GB moneyline
- +231
Lions closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 41.5; the game landed 86 — over by 44.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Lambeau Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 31°F, wind 20 mph
- Referee
- Walt Coleman
- Rest
- DET 8 days · GB 7 days
- Coaches
- Jim Schwartz vs Mike McCarthy
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 20 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.