2011 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 1, 2012 · Georgia Dome

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta FalconsWinner

ATL -10 ✓O 45.5 ✓DomeFalcons closed -10 and covered, winning by 21.

Atlanta Falcons 45–24 — never really in doubt late.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TB

Josh FreemanQB

31/45, 274 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT

-9.2 expected points added · +3.3% completion over expected

Passing · ATL

Matt RyanQB

6/9, 106 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

11.2 expected points added · +5.2% completion over expected

Rushing · ATL

Michael TurnerRB

17 att, 172 yds, 2 TD

12.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ATL

Jason SnellingFB

9 att, 50 yds, 0 TD

-0.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ATL

Julio JonesWR

4/5 for 76 yds, 2 TD

24% of team targets · 7.5 expected points added

Receiving · TB

Preston ParkerWR

4/6 for 74 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 1.5 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Josh Freeman	31/45	274	2	3	2	-9.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Josh Freeman	3	14	4.7	-1.6
LeGarrette Blount	6	12	2.0	-2.2
Josh Johnson	1	5	5.0	0.1
Mossis Madu	2	4	2.0	-1.0
Kregg Lumpkin	2	0	0.0	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Preston Parker	4	6	74	0	14%	1.5
Kellen Winslow	7	9	56	0	20%	-3.2
Dezmon Briscoe	8	11	53	2	25%	0.2
Mike Williams	1	2	31	0	5%	2.1
Kregg Lumpkin	5	7	27	0	16%	-1.3
Mossis Madu	3	3	19	0	7%	0.9
LeGarrette Blount	3	4	14	0	9%	-0.4
Josh Johnson	0	2	0	0	5%	-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Larry Asante	7	1	0	0
Mason Foster	4	2	0	0
Elbert Mack	3	2	1	1
E.J. Biggers	3	1	0	0
Ronde Barber	3	1	0	0
Frank Okam	3	0	0	0
Albert Haynesworth	3	0	0	1
Ahmad Black	1	2	0	0
Dezmon Briscoe	2	0	0	0
Michael Bennett	2	0	0	0

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Ryan	6/9	106	2	0	0	11.2
Chris Redman	7/12	71	0	1	0	-10.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Michael Turner	17	172	10.1	2	12.3
Jason Snelling	9	50	5.6	0	-0.4
Jacquizz Rodgers	8	24	3.0	1	-4.7
Julio Jones	1	9	9.0	0	0.2
Chris Redman	3	-4	-1.3	0	-3.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Julio Jones	4	5	76	2	24%	7.5
Roddy White	4	9	69	0	43%	-4.6
Eric Weems	1	1	8	0	5%	-0.9
Tony Gonzalez	1	1	8	0	5%	1.4
Michael Palmer	1	2	7	0	10%	-0.8
Jacquizz Rodgers	1	1	5	0	5%	-0.7
Jason Snelling	1	1	4	0	5%	-0.1
Michael Turner	0	1	0	0	5%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Curtis Lofton	8	6	0.0	1	1
Thomas DeCoud	6	2	0.0	0	1
Chris Owens	3	3	0.0	0	1
Sean Weatherspoon	3	3	0.0	0	0
William Moore	2	4	0.5	0	0
Dominique Franks	3	2	0.0	1	1
Kroy Biermann	1	3	0.5	0	0
Spencer Adkins	1	2	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Babineaux	1	1	0.0	0	0
Lawrence Sidbury	1	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: ATL -10
Closing total: 45.5
TB moneyline: +400
ATL moneyline: -470

Falcons closed -10 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 69 — over by 23.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Georgia Dome
Roof / surface: dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Scott Green
Rest: TB 8 days · ATL 6 days
Coaches: Raheem Morris vs Mike Smith

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.