2012 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 30, 2012 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
New England PatriotsWinner
52
at
Buffalo Bills
28
NE -3.5 ✓O 48 ✓
New England Patriots 52–28 — never really in doubt late.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · BUF
22/39, 350 yds, 4 TD, 4 INT
7.1 expected points added · -2.0% completion over expected
Passing · NE
22/36, 340 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
21.0 expected points added · -0.5% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 22/36 | 340 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21.0 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bolden | 16 | 137 | 8.6 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Stevan Ridley | 22 | 106 | 4.8 | 2 | 4.0 |
| Tom Brady | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 1 | 1.7 |
| Shane Vereen | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Welker | 9 | 11 | 129 | 0 | 31% | 5.1 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 5 | 11 | 104 | 1 | 31% | 0.7 |
| Brandon Lloyd | 3 | 7 | 50 | 1 | 19% | 4.3 |
| Danny Woodhead | 2 | 2 | 23 | 1 | 6% | 2.8 |
| Daniel Fells | 1 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 6% | 0.8 |
| Brandon Bolden | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 0.7 |
| Shane Vereen | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6% | -0.6 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Spikes | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Rob Ninkovich | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Chung | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin McCourty | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Chandler Jones | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steve Gregory | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tavon Wilson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Arrington | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jerod Mayo | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Love | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 22/39 | 350 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7.1 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Spiller | 8 | 33 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Fred Jackson | 13 | 29 | 2.2 | 0 | -9.1 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Tashard Choice | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Johnny White | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Jones | 2 | 3 | 90 | 1 | 8% | 6.6 |
| Scott Chandler | 4 | 8 | 62 | 2 | 21% | 3.8 |
| Fred Jackson | 3 | 3 | 50 | 0 | 8% | 4.8 |
| Brad Smith | 2 | 2 | 49 | 1 | 5% | 6.7 |
| Dorin Dickerson | 2 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 5% | 3.5 |
| Trevor Graham | 4 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 21% | -1.4 |
| Steve Johnson | 2 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 26% | -11.9 |
| C.J. Spiller | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5% | -0.6 |
| Tashard Choice | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Scott | 6 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Barnett | 5 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jairus Byrd | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephon Gilmore | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 |
| Justin Rogers | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Wilson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Williams | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Alex Carrington | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcell Dareus | 0 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Norris Searcy | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -3.5
- Closing total
- 48
- NE moneyline
- -195
- BUF moneyline
- +175
Patriots closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 24.
Total closed 48; the game landed 80 — over by 32.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ralph Wilson Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · a turf
- Kickoff weather
- 58°F, wind 7 mph
- Referee
- John Parry
- Rest
- NE 7 days · BUF 7 days
- Coaches
- Bill Belichick vs Chan Gailey
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.