2012 Week 7 · Thu, Oct 18, 2012 · Candlestick Park

Seattle Seahawks

San Francisco 49ersWinner

SF -7.5 no coverU 37.5 ✓15 mph wind49ers closed -7.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.

San Francisco 49ers 13–6. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Alex SmithQB

14/23, 140 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.2 expected points added · -3.5% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

9/23, 122 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-7.1 expected points added · -16.4% completion over expected

Rushing · SF

Frank GoreRB

16 att, 131 yds, 0 TD

5.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Marshawn LynchRB

19 att, 103 yds, 0 TD

2.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SF

Frank GoreRB

5/6 for 51 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Ben ObomanuWR

3/4 for 50 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · -1.2 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	9/23	122	0	1	2	-7.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Marshawn Lynch	19	103	5.4	2.7
Robert Turbin	4	17	4.3	-1.5
Russell Wilson	3	10	3.3	0.4
Leon Washington	2	4	2.0	-1.8
Michael Robinson	1	2	2.0	0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Ben Obomanu	3	4	50	17%	-1.2
Sidney Rice	2	4	32	17%	1.1
Doug Baldwin	2	2	15	9%	1.7
Marshawn Lynch	1	2	13	9%	-0.3
Michael Robinson	1	1	12	4%	0.9
Robert Turbin	0	1	0	4%	-0.7
Zach Miller	0	2	0	9%	-0.7
Evan Moore	0	1	0	4%	-0.7
Anthony McCoy	0	1	0	4%	-0.5
Golden Tate	0	3	0	13%	-2.6
Braylon Edwards	0	2	0	9%	-2.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
K.J. Wright	9	1	0	0
Leroy Hill	6	2	0	0
Bobby Wagner	6	1	0	0
Earl Thomas	4	0	0	0
Kam Chancellor	3	0	0	0
Richard Sherman	3	0	0	1
Red Bryant	2	0	0	0
Clinton McDonald	2	0	0	0
Brandon Browner	2	0	1	1
Doug Baldwin	1	0	0	0

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Alex Smith	14/23	140	1	1	2	1.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Frank Gore	16	131	8.2	5.2
Kendall Hunter	9	31	3.4	-1.5
Alex Smith	5	11	2.2	-3.7
Kyle Williams	1	3	3.0	-0.2
Colin Kaepernick	1	-1	-1.0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Frank Gore	5	6	51	0	26%	3.7
Michael Crabtree	4	6	31	0	26%	0.3
Kyle Williams	1	4	18	0	17%	-1.5
Kendall Hunter	2	2	14	0	9%	0.5
Randy Moss	1	4	14	0	17%	-2.4
Delanie Walker	1	1	12	1	4%	2.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Justin Smith	5	2	0.0	0	0
Patrick Willis	4	1	0.0	0	2
Tarell Brown	3	1	0.0	0	0
NaVorro Bowman	4	0	1.0	0	0
Aldon Smith	3	1	1.0	0	0
Carlos Rogers	3	1	0.0	0	0
Donte Whitner	2	1	0.0	0	0
Ahmad Brooks	1	1	0.0	0	0
Ray McDonald	1	1	0.0	0	0
Dashon Goldson	1	1	0.0	1	2

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SF -7.5
Closing total: 37.5
SEA moneyline: +314
SF moneyline: -360

49ers closed -7.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 37.5; the game landed 19 — under by 18.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Candlestick Park
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 80°F, wind 15 mph
Referee: Walt Anderson
Rest: SEA 4 days · SF 4 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Jim Harbaugh

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.