2012 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 28, 2012 · LP Field

Indianapolis ColtsWinner

Tennessee Titans

TEN -3.5 upsetU 46.5 ✓18 mph windTitans closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Indianapolis Colts 19–13. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · IND

Andrew LuckQB

26/38, 297 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

11.6 expected points added · +7.7% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Matt HasselbeckQB

22/29, 236 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

9.7 expected points added · +11.6% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

Chris JohnsonRB

21 att, 99 yds, 0 TD

-0.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Donald BrownRB

14 att, 80 yds, 0 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · IND

Reggie WayneWR

7/11 for 91 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 1.2 expected points added

Receiving · TEN

Nate WashingtonWR

5/6 for 69 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 5.2 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Andrew Luck	26/38	297	1	1	2	11.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Donald Brown	14	80	5.7	0	2.4
Vick Ballard	12	55	4.6	0	-0.3
Andrew Luck	6	28	4.7	0	0.2
Delone Carter	2	8	4.0	1	3.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Reggie Wayne	7	11	91	0	29%	1.2
Dwayne Allen	4	5	56	0	13%	2.9
Donnie Avery	4	7	42	0	18%	2.9
T.Y. Hilton	5	6	35	0	16%	1.6
Coby Fleener	2	3	24	0	8%	1.4
Vick Ballard	1	1	16	1	3%	2.9
Mewelde Moore	1	2	13	0	5%	0.6
Weslye Saunders	1	1	11	0	3%	0.7
LaVon Brazill	1	1	9	0	3%	0.1
Donald Brown	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jerrell Freeman	11	3	0.0	0
Jerraud Powers	7	3	0.0	0
Antoine Bethea	5	3	0.0	0
Kavell Conner	3	1	0.0	0
Cassius Vaughn	3	1	0.0	1
Tom Zbikowski	4	0	0.0	0
Cory Redding	1	2	0.0	0
Drake Nevis	2	0	1.0	0
Justin Hickman	1	1	0.0	0
Reggie Wayne	1	0	0.0	0

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Hasselbeck	22/29	236	1	0	2	9.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Chris Johnson	21	99	4.7	-0.1
Matt Hasselbeck	2	10	5.0	-0.6
Darius Reynaud	1	4	4.0	0.1
Jamie Harper	1	-1	-1.0	-0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Nate Washington	5	6	69	0	21%	5.2
Kendall Wright	4	5	47	1	17%	3.9
Jared Cook	3	4	45	0	14%	3.0
Kenny Britt	3	5	34	0	17%	0.3
Chris Johnson	2	3	18	0	10%	-0.4
Craig Stevens	2	3	15	0	10%	0.1
Lavelle Hawkins	1	1	7	0	3%	0.5
Quinn Johnson	1	1	1	0	3%	-0.4
Damian Williams	1	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jordan Babineaux	7	5	0.0	0	0
Colin McCarthy	9	2	0.0	0	0
Alterraun Verner	7	2	0.0	0	0
Michael Griffin	6	2	0.0	1	1
Akeem Ayers	3	4	1.0	0	1
Ryan Mouton	6	0	0.0	0	0
Zach Brown	4	0	0.0	0	0
Kamerion Wimbley	2	1	0.5	0	0
Sen'Derrick Marks	2	0	0.0	0	0
Jason McCourty	2	0	0.0	0	2

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: TEN -3.5
Closing total: 46.5
IND moneyline: +153
TEN moneyline: -170

Titans closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 32 — under by 14.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: LP Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 52°F, wind 18 mph
Referee: Alberto Riveron
Rest: IND 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches: Chuck Pagano vs Mike Munchak

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.