2012 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 11, 2012 · Gillette Stadium
Buffalo Bills
31
at
New England PatriotsWinner
37
NE -13.5 no coverO 54 ✓
New England Patriots 37–31.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · BUF
27/40, 337 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
14.5 expected points added · +7.1% completion over expected
Passing · NE
23/38, 237 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
8.8 expected points added · -5.0% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 27/40 | 337 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Jackson | 16 | 80 | 5.0 | 2 | 0.9 |
| C.J. Spiller | 9 | 70 | 7.8 | 0 | 4.7 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Johnson | 6 | 9 | 86 | 0 | 23% | 7.5 |
| Donald Jones | 6 | 10 | 74 | 1 | 25% | 6.0 |
| Scott Chandler | 5 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 20% | 5.6 |
| C.J. Spiller | 4 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 10% | 3.8 |
| Fred Jackson | 4 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 13% | 2.6 |
| Trevor Graham | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 5% | -2.8 |
| Lee Smith | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Brad Smith | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.9 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Rogers | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephon Gilmore | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Barnett | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcell Dareus | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 |
| George Wilson | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leodis McKelvin | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jairus Byrd | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Scott | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Moore | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Da'Norris Searcy | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 23/38 | 237 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevan Ridley | 22 | 98 | 4.5 | 1 | 3.2 |
| Danny Woodhead | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Shane Vereen | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Tom Brady | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Welker | 6 | 11 | 74 | 0 | 29% | 3.5 |
| Danny Woodhead | 4 | 6 | 46 | 1 | 16% | 3.6 |
| Brandon Lloyd | 5 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 16% | 2.1 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 3 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 11% | 2.3 |
| Deion Branch | 4 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 21% | -1.1 |
| Shane Vereen | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 2.1 |
| Stevan Ridley | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| Michael Hoomanawanui | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerod Mayo | 4 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Spikes | 5 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin McCourty | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Arrington | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Alfonzo Dennard | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steve Gregory | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dont'a Hightower | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vince Wilfork | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rob Ninkovich | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jermaine Cunningham | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -13.5
- Closing total
- 54
- BUF moneyline
- +545
- NE moneyline
- -665
Patriots closed -13.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 54; the game landed 68 — over by 14.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Gillette Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 60°F, wind 12 mph
- Referee
- Bill Leavy
- Rest
- BUF 7 days · NE 14 days
- Coaches
- Chan Gailey vs Bill Belichick
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.