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2012 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 30, 2012 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Carolina PanthersWinner

44

New Orleans Saints

38

NO -4 upsetO 53.5 ✓Dome

Carolina Panthers 44–38.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Drew BreesQB

29/43, 396 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT

12.5 expected points added · +4.5% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Cam NewtonQB

16/33, 248 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

2.9 expected points added · -7.0% completion over expected

Rushing · CAR

DeAngelo WilliamsRB

21 att, 210 yds, 2 TD

11.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Mark IngramRB

10 att, 39 yds, 0 TD

-1.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Lance MooreWR

4/6 for 121 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 5.1 expected points added

Receiving · NO

Jimmy GrahamTE

9/16 for 115 yds, 1 TD

37% of team targets · 3.1 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Carolina Panthers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Cam Newton16/332480112.9
Derek Anderson1/1120001.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
DeAngelo Williams2121010.0211.9
Cam Newton7344.90-3.0
Mike Tolbert10252.533.9
Brandon LaFell144.00-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Steve Smith3973026%1.8
Brandon LaFell5762021%5.0
Louis Murphy3757021%2.4
Greg Olsen4543015%4.7
Mike Tolbert132209%0.2
DeAngelo Williams12306%-7.8
Richie Brockel01003%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Luke Kuechly1030.001
Captain Munnerlyn700.002
James Dockery520.000
Josh Thomas220.002
D.J. Campbell220.000
Thomas Davis310.000
Charles Godfrey310.011
Frank Alexander120.000
Jason Phillips200.000
Frank Kearse110.000

New Orleans Saints

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Drew Brees29/4339641212.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Mark Ingram10393.90-1.1
Chris Ivory4225.500.2
Darren Sproles310.30-1.9
Joseph Morgan111.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Lance Moore46121014%5.1
Jimmy Graham916115137%3.1
Darren Sproles8979121%3.6
Marques Colston5852219%4.5
Devery Henderson111602%0.8
Joseph Morgan11802%0.1
Jed Collins11502%-0.1
Mark Ingram01002%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jonathan Vilma440.011
Roman Harper600.000
Curtis Lofton320.000
Cameron Jordan320.000
Johnny Patrick500.000
Brodrick Bunkley321.000
David Hawthorne220.000
Rafael Bush400.000
Isa Abdul-Quddus400.003
Will Smith130.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NO -4
Closing total
53.5
CAR moneyline
+175
NO moneyline
-195

Saints closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 53.5; the game landed 82 — over by 28.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface
dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Alberto Riveron
Rest
CAR 7 days · NO 7 days
Coaches
Ron Rivera vs Joe Vitt

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.