2012 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 30, 2012 · Lucas Oil Stadium

Houston Texans

Indianapolis ColtsWinner

HOU -6.5 upsetU 47 ✓DomeTexans closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Indianapolis Colts 28–16.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · HOU

Matt SchaubQB

24/36, 275 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

2.1 expected points added · +1.0% completion over expected

Passing · IND

Andrew LuckQB

14/28, 191 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

9.0 expected points added · -12.5% completion over expected

Rushing · HOU

Arian FosterRB

16 att, 96 yds, 1 TD

2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Vick BallardRB

27 att, 78 yds, 1 TD

-6.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · HOU

Andre JohnsonWR

12/17 for 141 yds, 0 TD

47% of team targets · 2.9 expected points added

Receiving · IND

T.Y. HiltonWR

4/6 for 111 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 10.2 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Schaub	24/36	275	0	2	4	2.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Arian Foster	16	96	6.0	1	2.5
Ben Tate	2	7	3.5	0	-0.4
Matt Schaub	2	-1	-0.5	0	-0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Andre Johnson	12	17	141	47%	2.9
Kevin Walter	3	5	51	14%	5.5
Owen Daniels	3	4	27	11%	1.3
Arian Foster	2	3	23	8%	0.0
DeVier Posey	1	2	16	6%	2.4
James Casey	2	3	11	8%	-3.9
Garrett Graham	1	1	6	3%	0.3
Lestar Jean	0	1	0	3%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Kareem Jackson	6	2	0.0	1
Bradie James	5	3	0.0	0
Glover Quin	4	2	0.0	0
Connor Barwin	2	2	0.0	0
J.J. Watt	4	0	0.0	1
Antonio Smith	4	0	1.0	0
Barrett Ruud	3	1	0.0	0
Earl Mitchell	2	1	0.0	0
Danieal Manning	1	2	0.0	1
Quintin Demps	2	1	0.0	0

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Andrew Luck	14/28	191	2	0	1	9.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Vick Ballard	27	78	2.9	1	-6.4
Dwayne Allen	1	2	2.0	0	0.4
Andrew Luck	5	1	0.2	0	-3.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
T.Y. Hilton	4	6	111	1	21%	10.2
Reggie Wayne	4	12	40	0	43%	1.5
Dwayne Allen	2	3	21	0	11%	0.8
Vick Ballard	2	3	9	0	11%	-1.7
Mewelde Moore	1	1	9	0	4%	0.3
Coby Fleener	1	2	1	1	7%	0.3
Donnie Avery	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Cassius Vaughn	10	0	0.0	0	0
Jerrell Freeman	7	3	0.0	0	0
Antoine Bethea	6	0	0.0	0	0
Vontae Davis	5	0	0.0	2	3
Pat Angerer	1	2	0.0	0	0
Robert Mathis	3	0	0.0	0	0
Martin Tevaseu	1	1	0.0	0	0
Jerry Hughes	2	0	0.0	0	0
Lawrence Guy	2	0	1.0	0	0
Mario Harvey	1	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: HOU -6.5
Closing total: 47
HOU moneyline: -272
IND moneyline: +241

Texans closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47; the game landed 44 — under by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: HOU 7 days · IND 7 days
Coaches: Gary Kubiak vs Chuck Pagano

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.