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2012 Conference Championship · Sun, Jan 20, 2013 · Gillette Stadium

Baltimore RavensWinner

28

New England Patriots

13

NE -8 upsetU 49.5 ✓18 mph wind

Baltimore Ravens 28–13. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

29/54, 320 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

0.8 expected points added · -6.1% completion over expected

Passing · BAL

Joe FlaccoQB

21/36, 240 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

11.1 expected points added · +3.1% completion over expected

Rushing · NE

Stevan RidleyRB

18 att, 70 yds, 0 TD

-3.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Bernard PierceRB

9 att, 52 yds, 0 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Wes WelkerWR

8/12 for 117 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 4.6 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Aaron HernandezTE

9/14 for 83 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joe Flacco21/3624030211.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Bernard Pierce9525.802.4
Ray Rice19482.51-1.1
Joe Flacco3124.000.7
Vonta Leach294.500.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Torrey Smith4969025%1.5
Anquan Boldin5860222%5.4
Dennis Pitta5755119%5.2
Ray Rice3422011%0.6
Vonta Leach222006%1.0
Bernard Pierce11803%1.0
Jacoby Jones13608%-0.8
Ed Dickson01003%-0.7
Tandon Doss01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Ray Lewis680.000
Corey Graham470.000
Bernard Pollard450.001
Terrell Suggs250.000
Cary Williams330.011
Dannell Ellerbe230.011
Ma'ake Kemoeatu230.000
Haloti Ngata220.000
Sean Considine210.000
Jimmy Smith200.000

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady29/543201200.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Stevan Ridley18703.90-3.1
Shane Vereen4164.00-0.1
Danny Woodhead3113.700.1
Aaron Hernandez166.000.2
Tom Brady252.50-1.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Wes Welker812117123%4.6
Aaron Hernandez91483027%1.9
Brandon Lloyd71470027%-3.0
Shane Vereen242208%0.7
Deion Branch2516010%-3.1
Danny Woodhead131206%0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Brandon Spikes650.000
Jerod Mayo530.000
Devin McCourty440.000
Rob Ninkovich442.000
Kyle Arrington520.001
Justin Francis410.000
Marquice Cole320.000
Dont'a Hightower210.000
Alfonzo Dennard200.000
Steve Gregory110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NE -8
Closing total
49.5
BAL moneyline
+301
NE moneyline
-345

Patriots closed -8 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 41 — under by 8.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Gillette Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
41°F, wind 18 mph
Referee
Bill Leavy
Rest
BAL 8 days · NE 7 days
Coaches
John Harbaugh vs Bill Belichick

Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.