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2013 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2013 · Ralph Wilson Stadium

New England PatriotsWinner

23

Buffalo Bills

21

NE -10 no coverU 50.5 ✓

New England Patriots 23–21 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

29/52, 288 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

5.8 expected points added · -6.6% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

EJ ManuelQB

18/27, 150 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

2.8 expected points added · +4.9% completion over expected

Rushing · NE

Shane VereenRB

14 att, 101 yds, 0 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Fred JacksonRB

13 att, 67 yds, 0 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Danny AmendolaWR

10/14 for 104 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 9.2 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Julian EdelmanWR

7/9 for 79 yds, 2 TD

17% of team targets · 8.3 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady29/522882135.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Shane Vereen141017.202.0
Stevan Ridley9465.10-10.5
LeGarrette Blount7152.10-1.9
Tom Brady4-4-1.00-5.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Danny Amendola1014104027%9.2
Julian Edelman7979217%8.3
Shane Vereen71058019%2.8
Kenbrell Thompkins41442027%-4.9
Michael Hoomanawanui12504%-1.2
Zach Sudfeld01002%-3.5
Josh Boyce02004%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jerod Mayo630.000
Steve Gregory520.001
Tommy Kelly150.000
Rob Ninkovich230.000
Kyle Arrington410.001
Chandler Jones220.000
Aqib Talib300.000
Devin McCourty210.000
Dont'a Hightower210.000
Vince Wilfork120.000

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
EJ Manuel18/271502002.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Fred Jackson13675.202.0
C.J. Spiller17412.40-9.7
EJ Manuel3237.700.7
Trevor Graham155.001.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Fred Jackson4541019%5.0
Steve Johnson3639122%0.2
Scott Chandler4638022%0.6
Robert Woods121817%2.0
C.J. Spiller5614022%-3.0
Trevor Graham01004%-1.4
Marquise Goodwin11004%-4.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Da'Norris Searcy631.000
Jim Leonhard800.000
Aaron Williams250.000
Kiko Alonso340.000
Leodis McKelvin510.004
Kyle Williams131.000
Alex Carrington120.000
Arthur Moats120.000
Justin Rogers300.011
Ron Brooks210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NE -10
Closing total
50.5
NE moneyline
-420
BUF moneyline
+361

Patriots closed -10, won by 2 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 50.5; the game landed 44 — under by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ralph Wilson Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · a turf
Kickoff weather
65°F, wind 11 mph
Referee
Walt Anderson
Rest
NE 7 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches
Bill Belichick vs Doug Marrone

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.