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2013 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 22, 2013 · Candlestick Park

Indianapolis ColtsWinner

27

San Francisco 49ers

7

SF -10.5 upsetU 45.5 ✓

Indianapolis Colts 27–7 — never really in doubt late.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · IND

Andrew LuckQB

17/26, 159 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

4.8 expected points added · +1.7% completion over expected

Passing · SF

Colin KaepernickQB

13/27, 150 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-9.6 expected points added · -17.6% completion over expected

Rushing · IND

Ahmad BradshawRB

19 att, 95 yds, 1 TD

2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Frank GoreRB

11 att, 82 yds, 0 TD

2.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SF

Anquan BoldinWR

5/8 for 67 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added

Receiving · IND

Darrius Heyward-BeyWR

5/5 for 59 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Andrew Luck17/261590014.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ahmad Bradshaw19955.012.5
Trent Richardson13352.71-1.1
Donald Brown3258.300.7
Andrew Luck4246.014.1
Reggie Wayne155.000.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darrius Heyward-Bey5559019%4.5
Reggie Wayne4658023%3.5
Ahmad Bradshaw3416015%1.6
T.Y. Hilton2413015%-1.7
Coby Fleener221308%1.3
Trent Richardson030012%-1.8
Donald Brown01004%-0.3
Stanley Havili11004%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jerrell Freeman611.000
Delano Howell310.001
Josh Chapman220.000
Antoine Bethea400.000
Kelvin Sheppard210.001
Robert Mathis211.500
Aubrayo Franklin300.000
Kavell Conner200.000
Greg Toler200.000
Darius Butler200.001

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Colin Kaepernick13/27150013-9.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Frank Gore11827.502.9
Colin Kaepernick7202.90-1.5
Kendall Hunter4143.510.0
Anthony Dixon1-1-1.00-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Anquan Boldin5867030%2.4
Garrett Celek123007%1.7
Frank Gore2421015%-0.3
Kyle Williams2612022%-5.1
Bruce Miller111004%1.4
Vance McDonald136011%-0.7
Kendall Hunter11404%-0.4
Marlon Moore01004%-0.4
Quinton Patton01004%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
NaVorro Bowman800.001
Ahmad Brooks610.000
Donte Whitner600.000
Patrick Willis510.000
Aldon Smith601.000
Eric Reid320.001
Justin Smith310.000
Ray McDonald300.000
Tarell Brown300.000
Tony Jerod-Eddie210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SF -10.5
Closing total
45.5
IND moneyline
+431
SF moneyline
-510

49ers closed -10.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 34 — under by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Candlestick Park
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
66°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Terry McAulay
Rest
IND 7 days · SF 7 days
Coaches
Chuck Pagano vs Jim Harbaugh