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2013 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2013 · Sun Life Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

23

Miami Dolphins

21

MIA -6 upsetO 43.5 ✓

Buffalo Bills 23–21 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

Thad LewisQB

21/32, 202 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-1.0 expected points added · +3.2% completion over expected

Passing · MIA

Ryan TannehillQB

19/37, 194 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

-9.2 expected points added · -7.7% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Daniel ThomasRB

12 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Lamar MillerRB

9 att, 43 yds, 0 TD

-0.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

Mike WallaceWR

5/10 for 76 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 1.2 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

Brian HartlineWR

6/11 for 69 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 1.1 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Thad Lewis21/32202014-1.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Fred Jackson11363.310.8
Tashard Choice6162.700.7
Frank Summers2147.000.3
Thad Lewis5132.60-1.8
C.J. Spiller6111.80-2.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Steve Johnson61361041%-1.2
Fred Jackson4549016%2.9
Trevor Graham223606%3.2
Robert Woods3424013%0.5
Scott Chandler231809%1.5
Lee Smith111803%1.3
Tashard Choice01003%-1.0
C.J. Spiller33-409%-2.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Marcell Dareus420.000
Aaron Williams600.011
Stephon Gilmore410.001
Kiko Alonso310.000
Jairus Byrd400.000
Arthur Moats300.000
Marcus Easley300.000
Mario Williams302.000
Da'Norris Searcy200.000
Nigel Bradham200.000

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Tannehill19/37194322-9.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Daniel Thomas12605.000.4
Lamar Miller9434.80-0.5
Mike Wallace11212.000.7
Ryan Tannehill351.70-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Mike Wallace51076027%1.2
Brian Hartline61169030%1.1
Brandon Gibson5840222%-1.2
Charles Clay13718%0.2
Lamar Miller13408%-2.4
Rishard Matthews01003%-0.7
Daniel Thomas11-203%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Reshad Jones911.000
Philip Wheeler620.000
Jason Trusnik700.000
Derrick Shelby220.000
Randy Starks221.000
Nolan Carroll300.000
Olivier Vernon301.000
Jelani Jenkins300.000
Dimitri Patterson301.000
Brent Grimes210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIA -6
Closing total
43.5
BUF moneyline
+227
MIA moneyline
-255

Dolphins closed -6 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 44 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Sun Life Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
87°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Gene Steratore
Rest
BUF 7 days · MIA 14 days
Coaches
Doug Marrone vs Joe Philbin

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.