2013 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 17, 2013 · Ralph Wilson Stadium

New York Jets

Buffalo BillsWinner

NYJ -1 upsetO 39.5 ✓Jets closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Buffalo Bills 37–14 — never really in doubt late.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

EJ ManuelQB

20/28, 245 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

9.1 expected points added · +11.4% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Geno SmithQB

8/23, 103 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT

-24.9 expected points added · -23.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

Chris IvoryRB

15 att, 98 yds, 1 TD

2.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Fred JacksonRB

12 att, 34 yds, 0 TD

-1.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Marquise GoodwinWR

6/9 for 81 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · 5.3 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Trevor GrahamWR

2/4 for 74 yds, 1 TD

14% of team targets · 4.4 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Geno Smith	8/23	103	0	3	4	-24.9
Matt Simms	4/6	60	1	0	0	2.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Chris Ivory	15	98	6.5	1	2.6
Bilal Powell	5	27	5.4	0	1.1
Josh Cribbs	2	9	4.5	0	-0.2
Geno Smith	1	0	0.0	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Santonio Holmes	2	8	71	0	28%	-5.6
Greg Salas	2	2	32	0	7%	3.0
Jeff Cumberland	3	4	25	1	14%	0.1
Kellen Winslow	1	1	17	0	3%	1.1
David Nelson	1	3	12	0	10%	-1.2
Tommy Bohanon	2	2	5	0	7%	-0.5
Bilal Powell	1	1	1	0	3%	-0.7
Chris Ivory	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5
Stephen Hill	0	7	0	0	24%	-7.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Demario Davis	1	7	0.0	0
Damon Harrison	1	5	0.0	0
David Harris	2	4	0.0	0
Sheldon Richardson	1	4	0.0	0
Dee Milliner	5	0	0.0	1
Dawan Landry	2	3	0.0	0
Antonio Cromartie	4	0	0.0	2
Calvin Pace	1	3	1.0	0
Muhammad Wilkerson	1	2	0.0	1
Quinton Coples	1	1	0.0	0

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
EJ Manuel	20/28	245	2	0	1	9.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Fred Jackson	12	34	2.8	0	-1.6
Marquise Goodwin	1	17	17.0	0	1.5
EJ Manuel	7	9	1.3	0	1.9
C.J. Spiller	13	6	0.5	0	-6.3
Frank Summers	2	4	2.0	1	0.4
Tashard Choice	2	1	0.5	0	-1.0
Trevor Graham	1	-3	-3.0	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Marquise Goodwin	6	9	81	1	32%	5.3
Trevor Graham	2	4	74	1	14%	4.4
Scott Chandler	2	3	40	0	11%	2.0
Chris Hogan	3	4	29	0	14%	2.9
C.J. Spiller	2	2	10	0	7%	0.1
Fred Jackson	2	2	5	0	7%	-1.8
Frank Summers	1	1	5	0	4%	0.2
Lee Smith	1	2	1	0	7%	-2.5
Tashard Choice	1	1	0	0	4%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Kiko Alonso	3	6	0.0	0	0
Aaron Williams	3	4	0.0	0	1
Nickell Robey	1	2	0.0	0	0
Manny Lawson	1	2	1.0	0	0
Jairus Byrd	2	1	1.0	2	2
Stephon Gilmore	2	0	0.0	0	1
Marcell Dareus	1	1	0.0	0	1
Leodis McKelvin	2	0	0.0	0	1
Tashard Choice	1	0	0.0	0	0
Arthur Moats	1	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: NYJ -1
Closing total: 39.5
NYJ moneyline: -130
BUF moneyline: +118

Jets closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 39.5; the game landed 51 — over by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · a turf
Kickoff weather: 62°F, wind 14 mph
Referee: Bill Leavy
Rest: NYJ 14 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches: Rex Ryan vs Doug Marrone

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.