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2014 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 26, 2014 · MetLife Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

43

New York Jets

23

NYJ -3 upsetO 40 ✓16 mph wind

Buffalo Bills 43–23 — never really in doubt late. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

Kyle OrtonQB

10/17, 238 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

8.1 expected points added · +3.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Mike VickQB

18/36, 153 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-12.0 expected points added · -4.6% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

Mike VickQB

8 att, 69 yds, 0 TD

0.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Anthony DixonRB

22 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

-4.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Sammy WatkinsWR

3/6 for 157 yds, 1 TD

35% of team targets · 9.0 expected points added

Receiving · NYJ

Jace AmaroTE

5/5 for 51 yds, 0 TD

13% of team targets · 5.6 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kyle Orton10/172384048.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Anthony Dixon22442.00-4.7
Bryce Brown7152.10-2.2
Kyle Orton263.000.3
Frank Summers122.011.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Sammy Watkins36157135%9.0
Robert Woods3350118%4.5
Chris Hogan111406%0.9
Scott Chandler1212112%1.8
Lee Smith225112%1.1
Bryce Brown030018%-2.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nigel Bradham710.000
Corey Graham520.000
Nickell Robey520.000
Preston Brown510.011
Stephon Gilmore410.011
Manny Lawson400.001
Leodis McKelvin310.002
Jarius Wynn211.001
Corbin Bryant121.000
Brandon Spikes110.000

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Mike Vick18/36153014-12.0
Geno Smith2/85030-13.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Mike Vick8698.600.5
Chris Ivory13433.321.1
Percy Harvin4287.001.8
Bilal Powell4287.012.1
Chris Johnson372.30-1.2
Geno Smith100.00-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jace Amaro5551013%5.6
Eric Decker71140028%-4.7
Jeremy Kerley2525013%-4.7
Percy Harvin3922023%-5.3
Chris Johnson221305%-0.1
Chris Owusu11703%0.8
Chris Ivory02005%-1.2
Jeff Cumberland03008%-3.9
Trevor Graham01003%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Sheldon Richardson340.500
Demario Davis140.001
Dawan Landry140.000
Quinton Coples221.500
David Harris220.000
Kyle Wilson301.000
Muhammad Wilkerson120.500
Trevor Graham210.000
Jaiquawn Jarrett110.000
Geno Smith100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYJ -3
Closing total
40
BUF moneyline
+131
NYJ moneyline
-145

Jets closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 40; the game landed 66 — over by 26.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
59°F, wind 16 mph
Referee
Gene Steratore
Rest
BUF 7 days · NYJ 10 days
Coaches
Doug Marrone vs Rex Ryan

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.