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2014 Conference Championship · Sun, Jan 18, 2015 · Gillette Stadium

Indianapolis Colts

7

New England PatriotsWinner

45

NE -7 ✓52 push15 mph wind

New England Patriots 45–7 — never really in doubt late. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

23/35, 226 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

9.5 expected points added · +3.4% completion over expected

Passing · IND

Andrew LuckQB

12/33, 126 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-16.1 expected points added · -23.0% completion over expected

Rushing · NE

LeGarrette BlountRB

30 att, 148 yds, 3 TD

8.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Dan HerronRB

10 att, 51 yds, 0 TD

0.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Julian EdelmanWR

9/11 for 98 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · 10.9 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Shane VereenRB

3/4 for 41 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 1.7 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Andrew Luck12/33126020-16.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Dan Herron10515.100.2
Andrew Luck4184.500.7
Zurlon Tipton5142.81-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
T.Y. Hilton1636019%-6.1
Coby Fleener3430013%3.6
Dwayne Allen4630019%0.8
Hakeem Nicks131509%-0.7
Dan Herron2411013%-0.9
Zurlon Tipton144013%-7.6
Jack Doyle02006%-1.3
Donte Moncrief01003%-0.5
Reggie Wayne02006%-2.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
D'Qwell Jackson280.011
Jerrell Freeman640.000
Greg Toler910.000
Mike Adams270.000
LaRon Landry240.000
Arthur Jones240.000
Cory Redding421.000
Vontae Davis400.001
Montori Hughes120.000
Andrew Luck110.000

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady23/352263119.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
LeGarrette Blount301484.938.3
Tom Brady3134.302.0
Julian Edelman11212.000.8
Jonas Gray441.00-2.3
Shane Vereen122.00-0.3
Danny Amendola1-2-2.00-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Julian Edelman91198031%10.9
Shane Vereen3441011%1.7
Rob Gronkowski3828123%-3.2
Brandon LaFell4628017%-1.3
Nate Solder111613%2.5
Danny Amendola13809%-0.9
Michael Hoomanawanui11603%0.3
James Develin11113%0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jamie Collins310.011
Sealver Siliga210.000
Dont'a Hightower300.000
Rob Ninkovich300.002
Jonathan Casillas110.000
Patrick Chung200.000
Chris White110.000
Logan Ryan200.000
Alan Branch200.000
Shane Vereen100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NE -7
Closing total
52
IND moneyline
+281
NE moneyline
-320

Patriots closed -7 and covered, winning by 38.

Total closed 52 and landed exactly there — a push.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Gillette Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
51°F, wind 15 mph
Referee
Walt Anderson
Rest
IND 7 days · NE 8 days
Coaches
Chuck Pagano vs Bill Belichick

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.