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2015 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 2015 · Ralph Wilson Stadium

New England PatriotsWinner

40

Buffalo Bills

32

BUF -2 upsetO 45 ✓

New England Patriots 40–32.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

38/59, 466 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

10.4 expected points added · +1.8% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

23/30, 242 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT

-7.1 expected points added · +13.0% completion over expected

Rushing · BUF

LeSean McCoyRB

15 att, 89 yds, 0 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

5 att, 43 yds, 1 TD

4.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Rob GronkowskiTE

7/13 for 113 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Dion LewisRB

6/9 for 98 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · -1.9 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady38/5946630210.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Dion Lewis7405.713.5
Julian Edelman11212.001.2
LeGarrette Blount242.00-0.9
Danny Amendola133.00-0.1
Brandon Bolden111.00-0.5
Tom Brady3-4-1.30-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rob Gronkowski713113122%7.1
Dion Lewis6998015%-1.9
Julian Edelman111997232%-1.2
Aaron Dobson7887014%6.6
Danny Amendola122903%1.4
Scott Chandler352308%-1.2
Michael Williams111502%1.0
Brandon Bolden11202%-0.2
Travaris Cadet11202%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jamie Collins832.500
Dont'a Hightower440.500
Devin McCourty510.000
Malcolm Butler320.011
Chandler Jones313.000
Logan Ryan310.011
Rob Ninkovich311.000
Bradley Fletcher400.000
Tarell Brown210.000
Jerod Mayo110.000

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyrod Taylor23/30242338-7.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
LeSean McCoy15895.900.4
Tyrod Taylor5438.614.8
Karlos Williams6213.512.4
Percy Harvin177.00-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Robert Woods3360110%3.6
Sammy Watkins6860127%1.1
Percy Harvin4547017%1.3
LeSean McCoy3427013%-1.2
Charles Clay3519117%-0.7
Karlos Williams2316010%0.3
Chris Hogan111103%1.7
Matthew Mulligan11203%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Preston Brown650.000
Corey Graham730.000
Nickell Robey600.000
Nigel Bradham230.000
Stephon Gilmore500.000
Bacarri Rambo310.000
Ronald Darby300.002
Aaron Williams200.001
Mario Williams201.000
Kyle Williams110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BUF -2
Closing total
45
NE moneyline
+112
BUF moneyline
-124

Bills closed -2 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45; the game landed 72 — over by 27.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ralph Wilson Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · a turf
Kickoff weather
62°F, wind 7 mph
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
NE 10 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches
Bill Belichick vs Rex Ryan

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.