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2015 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27, 2015 · Sun Life Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

41

Miami Dolphins

14

MIA -1 upsetO 43.5 ✓

Buffalo Bills 41–14 — never really in doubt late.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Ryan TannehillQB

26/49, 297 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT

-14.8 expected points added · -5.4% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

21/29, 277 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

22.8 expected points added · +14.2% completion over expected

Rushing · BUF

Karlos WilliamsRB

12 att, 110 yds, 1 TD

6.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Jonas GrayRB

9 att, 49 yds, 0 TD

2.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

Rishard MatthewsWR

6/10 for 113 yds, 2 TD

20% of team targets · 9.9 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Charles ClayTE

5/7 for 82 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 6.4 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyrod Taylor21/2927730022.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Karlos Williams121109.216.7
Percy Harvin2168.00-1.0
LeSean McCoy11161.50-4.6
Tyrod Taylor3124.00-0.2
Anthony Dixon5-1-0.20-6.0
EJ Manuel1-2-2.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Charles Clay5782124%6.4
Percy Harvin7866028%7.3
Chris Hogan3442114%2.3
Sammy Watkins123907%2.2
Robert Woods4538017%2.9
LeSean McCoy1310110%1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Corey Graham920.000
Bacarri Rambo610.000
Preston Brown340.022
Nickell Robey320.000
Ronald Darby410.014
Marcell Dareus401.000
Nigel Bradham400.000
Corbin Bryant300.000
Kyle Williams110.000
Jerry Hughes100.002

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Tannehill26/49297232-14.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jonas Gray9495.402.3
Lamar Miller7385.402.5
Damien Williams2178.501.2
Ryan Tannehill1-1-1.000.0
Jarvis Landry1-1-1.00-2.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rishard Matthews610113220%9.9
Jarvis Landry81367027%-13.5
DeVante Parker3746014%-2.9
Lamar Miller332706%0.5
Jordan Cameron3816016%-4.8
Jake Stoneburner111302%0.9
Greg Jennings131006%-1.5
Damien Williams13506%-0.9
Kenny Stills01002%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Reshad Jones810.001
Kelvin Sheppard600.000
Michael Thomas600.000
Koa Misi600.000
Brice McCain500.000
Ndamukong Suh400.000
Jelani Jenkins300.000
Walt Aikens200.000
Brent Grimes200.000
Derrick Shelby200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIA -1
Closing total
43.5
BUF moneyline
-103
MIA moneyline
-107

Dolphins closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 55 — over by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Sun Life Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
87°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Jerome Boger
Rest
BUF 7 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches
Rex Ryan vs Joe Philbin

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.