2015 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27, 2015 · M&T Bank Stadium

Cincinnati BengalsWinner

Baltimore Ravens

BAL -2.5 upsetO 45.5 ✓Ravens closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Cincinnati Bengals 28–24.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Andy DaltonQB

20/32, 383 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

8.9 expected points added · +5.5% completion over expected

Passing · BAL

Joe FlaccoQB

32/49, 362 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

6.4 expected points added · -2.2% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Giovani BernardRB

13 att, 49 yds, 0 TD

-6.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CIN

Jeremy HillRB

12 att, 21 yds, 0 TD

-4.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

A.J. GreenWR

10/13 for 227 yds, 2 TD

41% of team targets · 14.2 expected points added

Receiving · BAL

Steve SmithWR

13/17 for 186 yds, 2 TD

35% of team targets · 14.9 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Andy Dalton	20/32	383	3	1	2	8.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Giovani Bernard	13	49	3.8	0	-6.1
Jeremy Hill	12	21	1.8	0	-4.2
Andy Dalton	5	10	2.0	1	0.9
Mohamed Sanu	1	6	6.0	0	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Green	10	13	227	2	41%	14.2
Marvin Jones	5	8	94	1	25%	9.4
Giovani Bernard	3	4	34	0	13%	-0.2
Mohamed Sanu	2	4	28	0	13%	0.4
Tyler Eifert	0	3	0	0	9%	-5.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Vincent Rey	4	4	0	0
Adam Jones	4	2	1	1
A.J. Hawk	5	1	0	0
Rey Maualuga	2	3	0	0
Carlos Dunlap	3	2	0	0
Geno Atkins	2	2	0	0
Dre Kirkpatrick	2	2	0	1
Reggie Nelson	2	1	0	0
Emmanuel Lamur	2	1	0	0
Shawn Williams	3	0	0	0

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Flacco	32/49	362	2	1	0	6.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Justin Forsett	10	13	1.3	-5.9
Javorius Allen	3	12	4.0	0.4
Michael Campanaro	1	8	8.0	0.5
Anthony Levine	1	3	3.0	2.6
Lorenzo Taliaferro	3	0	0.0	-3.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Steve Smith	13	17	186	2	35%	14.9
Maxx Williams	3	7	44	0	15%	-2.8
Crockett Gillmore	3	3	40	0	6%	3.6
Marlon Brown	2	5	29	0	10%	1.3
Nick Boyle	2	2	19	0	4%	0.9
Justin Forsett	4	7	16	0	15%	-2.7
Michael Campanaro	2	2	11	0	4%	-0.6
Kyle Juszczyk	2	3	11	0	6%	-4.6
Lorenzo Taliaferro	1	1	6	0	2%	-0.0
Kamar Aiken	0	1	0	0	2%	-2.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Brandon Williams	4	4	0.0	0	0
Lawrence Guy	2	5	0.0	0	0
Daryl Smith	2	5	0.0	0	0
C.J. Mosley	4	2	0.0	0	1
Lardarius Webb	3	2	0.0	0	1
Jimmy Smith	3	1	0.0	1	1
Will Hill	4	0	1.0	0	0
Timmy Jernigan	1	3	0.0	0	0
Courtney Upshaw	1	2	0.0	0	1
Brynden Trawick	2	0	0.0	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -2.5
Closing total: 45.5
CIN moneyline: +125
BAL moneyline: -138

Ravens closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 52 — over by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · sportturf
Kickoff weather: 70°F, wind 12 mph
Referee: Walt Anderson
Rest: CIN 7 days · BAL 7 days
Coaches: Marvin Lewis vs John Harbaugh

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.