2015 Week 5 · Thu, Oct 8, 2015 · NRG Stadium

Indianapolis ColtsWinner

Houston Texans

HOU -4.5 upsetO 40.5 ✓DomeTexans closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Indianapolis Colts 27–20.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · HOU

Brian HoyerQB

24/31, 312 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

17.1 expected points added · +11.7% completion over expected

Passing · IND

Matt HasselbeckQB

18/29, 213 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.8 expected points added · +0.7% completion over expected

Rushing · IND

Frank GoreRB

22 att, 98 yds, 1 TD

0.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · HOU

Arian FosterRB

19 att, 41 yds, 0 TD

-4.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · HOU

DeAndre HopkinsWR

11/14 for 169 yds, 0 TD

34% of team targets · 9.1 expected points added

Receiving · IND

T.Y. HiltonWR

5/9 for 88 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · 1.3 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Hasselbeck	18/29	213	2	0	0	10.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Frank Gore	22	98	4.5	1	0.9
Zurlon Tipton	2	9	4.5	0	0.2
Josh Robinson	3	6	2.0	0	-1.0
Matt Hasselbeck	3	-3	-1.0	0	-1.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
T.Y. Hilton	5	9	88	0	31%	1.3
Andre Johnson	6	7	77	2	24%	9.6
Dwayne Allen	1	1	21	0	3%	1.6
Coby Fleener	2	3	9	0	10%	-0.7
Phillip Dorsett	1	2	9	0	7%	0.4
Josh Robinson	1	1	6	0	3%	0.4
Donte Moncrief	1	3	3	0	10%	0.1
Zurlon Tipton	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.9
Jack Doyle	1	2	0	0	7%	-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
D'Qwell Jackson	6	3	0.0	0	0
Greg Toler	8	0	0.0	0	0
Nate Irving	5	1	0.0	0	0
Clayton Geathers	4	1	0.0	0	0
Dwight Lowery	5	0	0.0	0	0
Vontae Davis	3	2	0.0	0	0
Sio Moore	2	2	0.0	0	0
Henry Anderson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Mike Adams	3	1	0.0	2	2
Erik Walden	3	0	1.0	0	0

Houston Texans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Brian Hoyer	24/31	312	2	1	0	17.1
Ryan Mallett	7/10	50	0	1	1	-2.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Arian Foster	19	41	2.2	-4.3
Alfred Blue	6	22	3.7	-0.2
Brian Hoyer	1	14	14.0	0.0
Chris Polk	1	5	5.0	-0.8
Ryan Mallett	1	0	0.0	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeAndre Hopkins	11	14	169	0	34%	9.1
Arian Foster	9	10	77	0	24%	0.0
Jaelen Strong	2	2	53	2	5%	9.2
Keith Mumphery	4	8	23	0	20%	-3.4
Chris Polk	2	3	17	0	7%	0.2
Alfred Blue	1	1	11	0	2%	0.6
Garrett Graham	1	1	8	0	2%	0.6
C.J. Fiedorowicz	1	1	4	0	2%	-0.8
Chandler Worthy	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Kevin Johnson	3	2	1
Benardrick McKinney	4	1	0
Jared Crick	1	3	0
Kareem Jackson	3	1	2
Whitney Mercilus	1	2	0
Andre Hal	1	2	0
Johnathan Joseph	3	0	1
Rahim Moore	1	2	0
Eddie Pleasant	2	0	0
Darryl Morris	1	1	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: HOU -4.5
Closing total: 40.5
IND moneyline: +187
HOU moneyline: -209

Texans closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 47 — over by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: NRG Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Terry McAulay
Rest: IND 4 days · HOU 4 days
Coaches: Chuck Pagano vs Bill O'Brien

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.