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2015 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 2015 · EverBank Field

Houston TexansWinner

31

Jacksonville Jaguars

20

JAX -2.5 upsetO 43.5 ✓18 mph wind

Houston Texans 31–20. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · JAX

Blake BortlesQB

30/53, 331 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT

-3.5 expected points added · -4.9% completion over expected

Passing · HOU

Brian HoyerQB

24/36, 293 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

17.4 expected points added · +4.4% completion over expected

Rushing · HOU

Arian FosterRB

18 att, 53 yds, 0 TD

-3.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · HOU

Chris PolkRB

8 att, 37 yds, 0 TD

-1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · HOU

DeAndre HopkinsWR

10/15 for 148 yds, 2 TD

42% of team targets · 13.2 expected points added

Receiving · JAX

Bryan WaltersWR

8/12 for 87 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 5.3 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Brian Hoyer24/3629330117.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Arian Foster18532.90-3.0
Chris Polk8374.60-1.8
Brian Hoyer551.001.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeAndre Hopkins1015148242%13.2
Cecil Shorts4663017%2.6
Arian Foster5659117%4.6
Keith Mumphery248011%0.1
C.J. Fiedorowicz12806%-0.2
Jaelen Strong11503%0.2
Chris Polk12206%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Brian Cushing930.000
A.J. Bouye700.012
Johnathan Joseph420.001
Kevin Johnson400.001
Eddie Pleasant300.000
Whitney Mercilus302.000
Andre Hal210.022
Lonnie Ballentine300.001
Benardrick McKinney210.000
Jared Crick110.000

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Blake Bortles30/53331333-3.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Blake Bortles4379.304.6
Toby Gerhart9262.90-2.2
Denard Robinson7192.70-2.6
Corey Grant111.00-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Bryan Walters81287023%5.3
Allen Robinson61286123%0.6
Julius Thomas71378125%-6.9
Allen Hurns2730113%0.6
Toby Gerhart342308%0.5
Denard Robinson331906%1.3
Marcedes Lewis12804%-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Paul Posluszny910.000
Josh Evans710.000
Telvin Smith700.000
Davon House500.003
Johnathan Cyprien400.000
Aaron Colvin400.000
Dan Skuta220.500
Andre Branch200.001
Michael Bennett020.500
Chris Clemons200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
JAX -2.5
Closing total
43.5
HOU moneyline
+140
JAX moneyline
-155

Jaguars closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 51 — over by 7.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
EverBank Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
73°F, wind 18 mph
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
HOU 10 days · JAX 7 days
Coaches
Bill O'Brien vs Gus Bradley

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.