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2015 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1, 2015 · Georgia Dome

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

23

Atlanta Falcons

20

ATL -8 upsetU 47.5 ✓Dome

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23–20 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ATL

Matt RyanQB

37/45, 397 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

20.9 expected points added · +13.3% completion over expected

Passing · TB

Jameis WinstonQB

16/29, 177 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

2.4 expected points added · -2.0% completion over expected

Rushing · ATL

Devonta FreemanRB

21 att, 88 yds, 0 TD

-2.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TB

Doug MartinRB

23 att, 71 yds, 0 TD

-8.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ATL

Julio JonesWR

12/13 for 162 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Receiving · ATL

Jacob TammeTE

10/12 for 103 yds, 1 TD

27% of team targets · 5.3 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jameis Winston16/291771022.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Doug Martin23713.10-8.0
Jameis Winston3248.014.7
Charles Sims6223.70-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Cameron Brate224817%4.8
Mike Evans3948031%0.8
Brandon Myers3332010%2.3
Charles Sims3424014%1.5
Adam Humphries3614021%-2.5
Doug Martin11703%1.5
Donteea Dye134010%-2.3
Luke Stocker01003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kwon Alexander650.011
Chris Conte540.000
Bradley McDougald620.000
Johnthan Banks520.000
Alterraun Verner510.001
Lavonte David320.001
William Gholston320.000
Danny Lansanah310.000
Mike Jenkins400.000
Henry Melton400.000

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matt Ryan37/4539721120.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Devonta Freeman21884.20-2.8
Tevin Coleman3113.70-0.1
Matt Ryan320.70-10.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Julio Jones1213162129%4.1
Jacob Tamme1012103127%5.3
Devonta Freeman6843018%3.0
Roddy White232407%-0.8
Justin Hardy242109%1.7
Eric Weems111102%1.1
Tevin Coleman111002%0.6
Terron Ward11802%-0.3
Patrick DiMarco11802%0.4
Levine Toilolo11702%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Ricardo Allen511.000
Kroy Biermann420.000
Paul Worrilow230.000
Robert Alford310.000
Ra'Shede Hageman310.000
Justin Durant220.000
Kemal Ishmael210.000
Grady Jarrett300.000
Robenson Therezie210.000
Paul Soliai210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ATL -8
Closing total
47.5
TB moneyline
+346
ATL moneyline
-400

Falcons closed -8 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 43 — under by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Georgia Dome
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
TB 7 days · ATL 7 days
Coaches
Lovie Smith vs Dan Quinn

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.