2015 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29, 2015 · Levi's Stadium

Arizona CardinalsWinner

San Francisco 49ers

ARI -7.5 no coverU 45 ✓Cardinals closed -7.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Arizona Cardinals 19–13.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Blaine GabbertQB

25/36, 318 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.4 expected points added · +1.8% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Carson PalmerQB

24/40, 271 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

4.9 expected points added · +1.3% completion over expected

Rushing · SF

Shaun DraughnRB

15 att, 51 yds, 0 TD

-3.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

Andre EllingtonRB

5 att, 24 yds, 0 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

John BrownWR

5/7 for 99 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 5.5 expected points added

Receiving · SF

Anquan BoldinWR

8/11 for 93 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · 0.8 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Palmer	24/40	271	0	0	1	4.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Andre Ellington	5	24	4.8	0	-1.2
David Johnson	8	21	2.6	1	-2.1
Chris Johnson	12	17	1.4	0	-5.3
Carson Palmer	3	6	2.0	1	2.5
Stepfan Taylor	1	2	2.0	0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
John Brown	5	7	99	18%	5.5
Larry Fitzgerald	10	14	66	35%	1.6
J.J. Nelson	2	5	53	13%	1.4
Andre Ellington	3	5	22	13%	0.5
Michael Floyd	1	2	14	5%	0.4
Jermaine Gresham	1	3	9	8%	0.7
David Johnson	2	4	8	10%	-4.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Tyrann Mathieu	9	2	0.0	1	2
Kevin Minter	4	2	0.5	0	0
Tony Jefferson	4	2	1.0	0	0
Rashad Johnson	4	1	0.0	0	0
Deone Bucannon	3	1	0.0	0	0
Calais Campbell	2	1	0.0	0	0
Red Bryant	1	1	0.0	0	0
Jerraud Powers	2	0	0.0	0	1
Sean Weatherspoon	2	0	0.0	0	0
Justin Bethel	2	0	0.0	0	0

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Blaine Gabbert	25/36	318	1	1	2	1.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Shaun Draughn	15	51	3.4	-3.0
Blaine Gabbert	1	11	11.0	1.5
Quinton Patton	1	5	5.0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Anquan Boldin	8	11	93	0	31%	0.8
Vance McDonald	6	7	71	1	19%	4.8
Blake Bell	3	3	67	0	8%	3.0
Torrey Smith	2	3	51	0	8%	2.7
Shaun Draughn	5	5	35	0	14%	2.7
Quinton Patton	1	6	1	0	17%	-6.9
Jerome Simpson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Kenneth Acker	7	1	0.0	1
NaVorro Bowman	6	1	0.0	1
Tramaine Brock	5	1	0.0	1
Jaquiski Tartt	4	1	0.0	0
Ian Williams	3	1	0.0	0
Michael Wilhoite	4	0	0.0	0
Mike Purcell	2	1	1.0	0
Eric Reid	2	1	0.0	1
Aaron Lynch	2	1	0.0	1
Jimmie Ward	3	0	0.0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: ARI -7.5
Closing total: 45
ARI moneyline: -365
SF moneyline: +318

Cardinals closed -7.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 45; the game landed 32 — under by 13.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Levi's Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 54°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Peter Morelli
Rest: ARI 7 days · SF 7 days
Coaches: Bruce Arians vs Jim Tomsula

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.