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2015 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6, 2015 · Raymond James Stadium

Atlanta Falcons

19

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

23

TB -1 ✓U 46.5 ✓18 mph wind

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23–19. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ATL

Matt RyanQB

30/45, 269 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-1.5 expected points added · +2.3% completion over expected

Passing · TB

Jameis WinstonQB

18/27, 227 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

5.6 expected points added · +7.5% completion over expected

Rushing · TB

Doug MartinRB

25 att, 95 yds, 1 TD

-2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TB

Charles SimsRB

7 att, 56 yds, 0 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ATL

Julio JonesWR

8/17 for 93 yds, 0 TD

39% of team targets · -2.3 expected points added

Receiving · TB

Vincent JacksonWR

3/5 for 87 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matt Ryan30/45269113-1.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Devonta Freeman14473.401.1
Tevin Coleman3134.30-0.1
Matt Ryan144.001.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Julio Jones81793039%-2.3
Devonta Freeman101156025%0.1
Justin Hardy233407%1.9
Roddy White343309%2.4
Jacob Tamme342609%1.5
Patrick DiMarco221805%1.5
Nick Williams12515%-0.6
Tevin Coleman11402%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Paul Worrilow630.000
Ricardo Allen800.000
Justin Durant500.001
Desmond Trufant220.011
Grady Jarrett401.000
Robenson Therezie400.000
Philip Wheeler400.000
Kemal Ishmael120.000
Ra'Shede Hageman210.000
Justin Hardy200.000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jameis Winston18/272271115.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Doug Martin25953.81-2.0
Charles Sims7568.003.0
Jameis Winston5153.012.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Vincent Jackson3587019%6.6
Mike Evans5761126%3.3
Austin Seferian-Jenkins3631022%-0.5
Charles Sims2321011%-0.1
Cameron Brate221207%-0.9
Adam Humphries11604%-1.0
Doug Martin12507%-0.6
Luke Stocker11404%0.0

Defense (top contributors)

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
TB -1
Closing total
46.5
ATL moneyline
+104
TB moneyline
-115

Buccaneers closed -1 and covered, winning by 4.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 42 — under by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
79°F, wind 18 mph
Referee
Ed Hochuli
Rest
ATL 7 days · TB 7 days
Coaches
Dan Quinn vs Lovie Smith

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.