2015 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20, 2015 · Lucas Oil Stadium

Houston TexansWinner

Indianapolis Colts

IND -2.5 upsetU 42 ✓DomeColts closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Houston Texans 16–10.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · IND

Matt HasselbeckQB

17/30, 147 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-3.8 expected points added · -3.4% completion over expected

Passing · HOU

Brandon WeedenQB

11/18, 105 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

0.9 expected points added · -2.0% completion over expected

Rushing · HOU

Alfred BlueRB

20 att, 107 yds, 0 TD

-2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Frank GoreRB

16 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

-6.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · HOU

DeAndre HopkinsWR

8/11 for 94 yds, 0 TD

41% of team targets · -0.3 expected points added

Receiving · IND

Donte MoncriefWR

5/7 for 51 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Brandon Weeden	11/18	105	1	0	1	0.9
T.J. Yates	6/10	68	0	1	2	-6.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Alfred Blue	20	107	5.3	-2.0
Akeem Hunt	5	26	5.2	2.2
T.J. Yates	1	7	7.0	0.4
Brandon Weeden	5	6	1.2	1.2
Chris Polk	4	6	1.5	-2.0
Jay Prosch	1	2	2.0	-0.4
Jonathan Grimes	1	1	1.0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeAndre Hopkins	8	11	94	0	41%	-0.3
Ryan Griffin	2	2	30	0	7%	1.9
Jaelen Strong	2	2	23	1	7%	3.3
Nate Washington	3	6	18	0	22%	-3.1
Akeem Hunt	2	2	8	0	7%	-0.5
C.J. Fiedorowicz	0	3	0	0	11%	-1.9
Cecil Shorts	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Benardrick McKinney	3	4	1.0	0
Brian Cushing	1	6	0.0	0
Quintin Demps	2	3	0.0	0
Jadeveon Clowney	1	3	0.0	1
Kevin Johnson	4	0	0.0	0
Kareem Jackson	4	0	0.0	0
J.J. Watt	2	2	0.0	0
John Simon	3	0	1.0	0
Jared Crick	2	0	0.0	0
Eddie Pleasant	1	1	0.0	1

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Hasselbeck	17/30	147	1	1	2	-3.8
Charlie Whitehurst	1/2	13	0	0	1	-1.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Frank Gore	16	44	2.8	-6.2
Zurlon Tipton	1	4	4.0	-1.4
Matt Hasselbeck	1	1	1.0	-0.8
Dwayne Allen	1	1	1.0	0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Donte Moncrief	5	7	51	1	24%	4.5
Andre Johnson	3	5	32	0	17%	0.6
T.Y. Hilton	3	5	29	0	17%	1.6
Frank Gore	1	2	15	0	7%	0.5
Coby Fleener	1	3	12	0	10%	0.5
Griff Whalen	2	2	9	0	7%	-5.7
Dan Herron	1	1	6	0	3%	0.4
Dwayne Allen	1	2	5	0	7%	-0.5
Phillip Dorsett	1	2	1	0	7%	-3.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Jerrell Freeman	5	7	0	0
Mike Adams	5	5	0	0
D'Qwell Jackson	2	5	0	0
Vontae Davis	4	1	1	2
Darius Butler	3	2	0	0
Erik Walden	3	1	0	0
Jalil Brown	3	0	0	1
Jonathan Newsome	1	2	0	0
Zach Kerr	1	2	0	0
David Parry	1	2	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: IND -2.5
Closing total: 42
HOU moneyline: +120
IND moneyline: -133

Colts closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 42; the game landed 26 — under by 16.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Ed Hochuli
Rest: HOU 7 days · IND 7 days
Coaches: Bill O'Brien vs Chuck Pagano

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.