2015 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27, 2015 · Nissan Stadium

Houston TexansWinner

Tennessee Titans

HOU -3.5 ✓O 39 ✓15 mph windTexans closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 28.

Houston Texans 34–6 — never really in doubt late. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Zach MettenbergerQB

27/51, 234 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-12.7 expected points added · -9.8% completion over expected

Passing · HOU

Brandon WeedenQB

15/24, 200 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

9.8 expected points added · +5.8% completion over expected

Rushing · HOU

Alfred BlueRB

15 att, 45 yds, 0 TD

-2.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · HOU

Chris PolkRB

11 att, 38 yds, 0 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · HOU

DeAndre HopkinsWR

7/11 for 117 yds, 1 TD

42% of team targets · 7.9 expected points added

Receiving · TEN

Harry DouglasWR

6/12 for 79 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Brandon Weeden	15/24	200	2	0	1	9.8
B.J. Daniels	1/2	7	0	0	0	0.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Alfred Blue	15	45	3.0	0	-2.3
Chris Polk	11	38	3.5	0	-1.2
Jonathan Grimes	6	25	4.2	0	-0.8
Brandon Weeden	2	11	5.5	1	1.9
B.J. Daniels	6	6	1.0	0	-1.3
Akeem Hunt	2	3	1.5	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeAndre Hopkins	7	11	117	1	42%	7.9
Nate Washington	3	5	42	1	19%	4.4
Jaelen Strong	2	5	18	0	19%	0.7
Ryan Griffin	1	1	13	0	4%	1.7
Akeem Hunt	1	2	6	0	8%	-0.3
C.J. Fiedorowicz	1	1	6	0	4%	0.7
Alfred Blue	1	1	5	0	4%	0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Max Bullough	4	1	0	0
Kareem Jackson	5	0	0	1
Quintin Demps	4	0	0	0
Eddie Pleasant	3	0	1	1
Kevin Johnson	3	0	0	0
Kurtis Drummond	3	0	0	0
Alfred Blue	2	0	0	0
A.J. Bouye	2	0	0	0
Benardrick McKinney	2	0	0	0
Akeem Dent	1	1	0	0

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Zach Mettenberger	27/51	234	1	1	1	-12.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
David Cobb	7	18	2.6	-1.9
Bishop Sankey	2	11	5.5	0.4
Antonio Andrews	2	1	0.5	-9.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Harry Douglas	6	12	79	0	24%	2.4
Delanie Walker	9	15	59	0	29%	-1.4
Bishop Sankey	3	4	43	0	8%	-0.4
Anthony Fasano	2	7	21	0	14%	-2.0
Kendall Wright	3	3	18	0	6%	-0.2
Tre McBride	2	3	8	1	6%	1.6
Craig Stevens	1	1	8	0	2%	0.6
Antonio Andrews	0	2	0	0	4%	-5.5
Dorial Green-Beckham	0	3	0	0	6%	-1.3
David Cobb	1	1	-2	0	2%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Michael Griffin	9	2	0
Avery Williamson	5	2	0
Jurrell Casey	4	2	0
David Bass	4	1	0
DaQuan Jones	3	2	0
Da'Norris Searcy	3	1	0
Zach Brown	4	0	0
Brian Orakpo	2	2	1
Wesley Woodyard	1	2	0
Angelo Blackson	2	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: HOU -3.5
Closing total: 39
HOU moneyline: -170
TEN moneyline: +153

Texans closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 28.

Total closed 39; the game landed 40 — over by 1.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 73°F, wind 15 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: HOU 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches: Bill O'Brien vs Ken Whisenhunt

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.