2015 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27, 2015 · Sun Life Stadium

Indianapolis ColtsWinner

Miami Dolphins

MIA -2.5 upsetU 44 ✓15 mph windDolphins closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Indianapolis Colts 18–12. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Ryan TannehillQB

26/38, 329 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

1.5 expected points added · +4.8% completion over expected

Passing · IND

Matt HasselbeckQB

8/15, 99 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

2.4 expected points added · -15.6% completion over expected

Rushing · IND

Frank GoreRB

15 att, 85 yds, 2 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Lamar MillerRB

15 att, 31 yds, 1 TD

-2.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

Jarvis LandryWR

7/11 for 111 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

DeVante ParkerWR

4/10 for 93 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · -1.8 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Hasselbeck	8/15	99	0	0	1	2.4
Charlie Whitehurst	9/14	78	0	0	1	2.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Frank Gore	15	85	5.7	2	1.6
Dan Herron	6	14	2.3	0	-1.9
Phillip Dorsett	1	2	2.0	0	-0.3
Charlie Whitehurst	1	-1	-1.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
T.Y. Hilton	4	7	64	24%	3.7
Andre Johnson	3	5	39	17%	3.0
Phillip Dorsett	2	3	29	10%	1.7
Donte Moncrief	2	2	15	7%	0.7
Coby Fleener	2	4	13	14%	-0.3
Frank Gore	2	4	10	14%	-0.9
Jack Doyle	2	3	7	10%	-0.7
Dwayne Allen	0	1	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jerrell Freeman	7	3	0.0	0	0
Vontae Davis	4	1	0.0	1	1
Zach Kerr	4	1	0.0	0	1
David Parry	2	3	0.0	0	0
Mike Adams	5	0	0.0	0	0
D'Qwell Jackson	4	1	0.0	0	1
Kendall Langford	4	1	2.0	0	1
Dwight Lowery	2	3	0.0	0	0
Robert Mathis	3	1	2.0	0	0
Darius Butler	3	0	0.0	0	1

Miami Dolphins

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	26/38	329	0	1	6	1.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Lamar Miller	15	31	2.1	1	-2.7
Ryan Tannehill	1	28	28.0	0	1.5
Jay Ajayi	9	23	2.6	0	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Jarvis Landry	7	11	111	29%	4.3
DeVante Parker	4	10	93	26%	-1.8
Lamar Miller	5	6	36	16%	4.9
Jordan Cameron	3	3	34	8%	2.5
Damien Williams	3	3	33	8%	0.8
Kenny Stills	3	3	14	8%	0.2
Dion Sims	1	1	8	3%	0.8
Matt Hazel	0	1	0	3%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Reshad Jones	3	3	0.0	1
Kelvin Sheppard	4	2	0.0	0
Tony Lippett	5	0	0.0	0
Shamiel Gary	3	0	0.0	0
Zach Vigil	3	0	0.0	0
Neville Hewitt	2	1	0.0	1
Brice McCain	3	0	0.0	2
Ndamukong Suh	1	2	1.0	0
Spencer Paysinger	1	2	0.0	0
Olivier Vernon	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: MIA -2.5
Closing total: 44
IND moneyline: +120
MIA moneyline: -133

Dolphins closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 44; the game landed 30 — under by 14.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Sun Life Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 82°F, wind 15 mph
Referee: Gene Steratore
Rest: IND 7 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches: Chuck Pagano vs Joe Philbin

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.