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2015 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3, 2016 · Sun Life Stadium

New England Patriots

10

Miami DolphinsWinner

20

NE -10 upsetU 46.5 ✓

Miami Dolphins 20–10.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Ryan TannehillQB

25/38, 350 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

15.8 expected points added · +9.7% completion over expected

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

12/21, 134 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-3.8 expected points added · -3.4% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Lamar MillerRB

19 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

-10.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Steven JacksonRB

14 att, 35 yds, 1 TD

-1.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

DeVante ParkerWR

5/6 for 106 yds, 1 TD

16% of team targets · 10.6 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

Greg JenningsWR

4/5 for 74 yds, 0 TD

13% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady12/21134002-3.8
Jimmy Garoppolo1/46000-3.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Steven Jackson14352.51-1.1
Brandon Bolden9313.40-2.3
James White351.70-1.3
Tom Brady1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
James White2363012%4.4
Steven Jackson112004%2.2
Rob Gronkowski2718028%-3.0
Danny Amendola2417016%-1.1
Brandon LaFell247016%-3.8
Chris Harper11604%0.1
Brandon Bolden22508%-1.7
Keshawn Martin12408%-0.9
Scott Chandler01004%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devin McCourty700.000
Jamie Collins510.002
Malcom Brown510.000
Jerod Mayo600.000
Patrick Chung420.000
Akiem Hicks140.000
Rob Ninkovich410.000
Alan Branch410.000
Malcolm Butler400.000
Leonard Johnson300.001

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Tannehill25/3835020115.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Lamar Miller19603.20-10.5
Ryan Tannehill3175.70-0.2
Damien Williams3113.700.3
Jarvis Landry263.00-0.6
Jay Ajayi720.30-3.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVante Parker56106116%10.6
Greg Jennings4574013%4.5
Jarvis Landry61172029%-0.3
Dion Sims334008%3.5
Damien Williams333808%4.1
Kenny Stills1411011%-2.1
Jordan Cameron246111%-1.3
Lamar Miller12305%-1.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Neville Hewitt420.001
Michael Thomas510.001
Olivier Vernon330.500
Kelvin Sheppard410.000
Derrick Shelby501.000
Reshad Jones400.000
Ndamukong Suh220.500
Brice McCain210.001
Jordan Phillips200.000
Tony Lippett200.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NE -10
Closing total
46.5
NE moneyline
-380
MIA moneyline
+330

Patriots closed -10 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 30 — under by 16.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Sun Life Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
80°F, wind 7 mph
Referee
Ed Hochuli
Rest
NE 7 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches
Bill Belichick vs Joe Philbin

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.