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2015 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3, 2016 · Ralph Wilson Stadium

New York Jets

17

Buffalo BillsWinner

22

NYJ -2.5 upsetU 41 ✓21 mph wind

Buffalo Bills 22–17. Played in 21 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

18/28, 182 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

4.0 expected points added · +0.9% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Ryan FitzpatrickQB

16/37, 181 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT

-5.8 expected points added · -14.4% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

Chris IvoryRB

6 att, 81 yds, 0 TD

4.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

10 att, 51 yds, 1 TD

-0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BUF

Sammy WatkinsWR

11/15 for 136 yds, 0 TD

54% of team targets · 9.4 expected points added

Receiving · NYJ

Brandon MarshallWR

8/16 for 126 yds, 1 TD

44% of team targets · 3.8 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Fitzpatrick16/37181231-5.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Chris Ivory68113.504.9
Stevan Ridley9293.20-1.0
Ryan Fitzpatrick2126.000.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Brandon Marshall816126144%3.8
Eric Decker5950125%-2.0
Quincy Enunwa145011%-2.1
Stevan Ridley22006%-0.9
Kellen Davis01003%-0.7
Kenbrell Thompkins040011%-2.5

Defense (top contributors)

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyrod Taylor18/281820024.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrod Taylor10515.11-0.8
Mike Gillislee24281.20-13.9
Karlos Williams6244.014.1
Anthony Dixon263.00-0.3
Chris Hogan144.00-0.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Sammy Watkins1115136054%9.4
Greg Salas3541018%3.8
Karlos Williams333011%-2.3
Chris Hogan132011%-2.7
Mike Gillislee01004%-1.1
Nick O'Leary01004%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Leodis McKelvin500.012
Corbin Bryant130.000
Corey Graham400.001
Bacarri Rambo210.000
Preston Brown210.000
Nickell Robey110.000
A.J. Tarpley110.011
Mario Williams201.000
Manny Lawson200.012
Jerry Hughes110.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYJ -2.5
Closing total
41
NYJ moneyline
-145
BUF moneyline
+131

Jets closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 41; the game landed 39 — under by 2.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ralph Wilson Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · a turf
Kickoff weather
35°F, wind 21 mph
Referee
Walt Anderson
Rest
NYJ 7 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches
Todd Bowles vs Rex Ryan

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 21 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.