2016 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 2, 2016 · Gillette Stadium
Buffalo BillsWinner
16
at
New England Patriots
0
NE -3.5 upsetU 41 ✓
Buffalo Bills 16–0.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · BUF
27/39, 246 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
12.2 expected points added · +7.6% completion over expected
Passing · NE
17/27, 205 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-1.8 expected points added · +1.8% completion over expected
Receiving · NE
5/6 for 109 yds, 0 TD
22% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added
Full stat lines
Box score
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod Taylor | 27/39 | 246 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeSean McCoy | 19 | 70 | 3.7 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Mike Gillislee | 6 | 30 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Tyrod Taylor | 5 | 28 | 5.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Brandon Tate | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Jerome Felton | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Woods | 7 | 10 | 89 | 0 | 26% | 7.5 |
| Charles Clay | 5 | 7 | 47 | 0 | 18% | -0.1 |
| LeSean McCoy | 6 | 6 | 38 | 1 | 16% | 5.0 |
| Walt Powell | 4 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 13% | 1.3 |
| Nick O'Leary | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 5% | 1.5 |
| Mike Gillislee | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 5% | -0.1 |
| Marquise Goodwin | 1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 13% | -0.9 |
| Jerome Felton | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Brown | 12 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston Brown | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lorenzo Alexander | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronald Darby | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jerry Hughes | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Williams | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Robert Blanton | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nickell Robey | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Graham | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephon Gilmore | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | 17/27 | 205 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeGarrette Blount | 13 | 54 | 4.2 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Jacoby Brissett | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 0 | -4.6 |
| James White | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Julian Edelman | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martellus Bennett | 5 | 6 | 109 | 0 | 22% | 6.6 |
| James White | 5 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 19% | 2.8 |
| Julian Edelman | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 15% | -1.3 |
| Brandon Bolden | 2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 11% | -1.3 |
| Rob Gronkowski | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 7% | -1.1 |
| LeGarrette Blount | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11% | -1.2 |
| Chris Hogan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -0.9 |
| Danny Amendola | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -2.9 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Ryan | 14 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dont'a Hightower | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin McCourty | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamie Collins | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alan Branch | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Chung | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Long | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jabaal Sheard | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malcolm Butler | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Flowers | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -3.5
- Closing total
- 41
- BUF moneyline
- +153
- NE moneyline
- -170
Patriots closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 41; the game landed 16 — under by 25.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Gillette Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 56°F, wind 7 mph
- Referee
- Peter Morelli
- Rest
- BUF 7 days · NE 10 days
- Coaches
- Rex Ryan vs Bill Belichick
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.