2016 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 2, 2016 · Georgia Dome

Carolina Panthers

Atlanta FalconsWinner

CAR -2.5 upsetO 48.5 ✓DomePanthers closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Atlanta Falcons 48–33.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ATL

Matt RyanQB

28/37, 503 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT

24.7 expected points added · +11.9% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Derek AndersonQB

17/23, 172 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

4.8 expected points added · +10.3% completion over expected

Rushing · ATL

Devonta FreemanRB

13 att, 57 yds, 1 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CAR

Cam NewtonQB

5 att, 30 yds, 0 TD

-1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ATL

Julio JonesWR

12/15 for 300 yds, 1 TD

41% of team targets · 20.2 expected points added

Receiving · CAR

Fozzy WhittakerRB

9/9 for 86 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 3.9 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Carolina Panthers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Derek Anderson	17/23	172	2	2	0	4.8
Cam Newton	14/25	165	1	0	1	0.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Cam Newton	5	30	6.0	-1.8
Cameron Artis-Payne	6	12	2.0	-2.9
Fozzy Whittaker	3	6	2.0	-0.4
Mike Tolbert	1	1	1.0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Fozzy Whittaker	9	9	86	0	19%	3.9
Greg Olsen	6	13	76	1	27%	-2.2
Devin Funchess	2	3	56	0	6%	3.7
Corey Brown	5	7	48	1	15%	4.0
Kelvin Benjamin	3	7	39	1	15%	1.1
Ed Dickson	2	2	17	0	4%	0.7
Ted Ginn	2	5	14	0	10%	-3.4
Joe Webb	1	1	3	0	2%	-0.2
Mike Tolbert	1	1	-2	0	2%	-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Luke Kuechly	11	1	1.0	0	1
Kurt Coleman	6	0	0.0	1	1
Kawann Short	4	1	1.0	0	0
Bene' Benwikere	3	1	0.0	0	2
Daryl Worley	2	2	0.0	0	0
Tre Boston	3	0	0.0	0	0
Shaq Thompson	2	1	0.0	0	1
Thomas Davis	3	0	0.0	0	1
Michael Griffin	1	2	0.0	0	0
Joe Webb	2	0	0.0	0	0

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Ryan	28/37	503	4	1	3	24.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Devonta Freeman	13	57	4.4	1	-0.2
Tevin Coleman	8	19	2.4	0	-3.1
Matt Ryan	4	14	3.5	0	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Julio Jones	12	15	300	1	41%	20.2
Taylor Gabriel	3	3	49	0	8%	5.8
Aldrick Robinson	2	3	48	1	8%	3.5
Austin Hooper	1	1	42	1	3%	3.4
Mohamed Sanu	2	3	22	0	8%	1.6
Patrick DiMarco	1	2	18	0	5%	0.7
Tevin Coleman	3	4	14	0	11%	-0.7
Devonta Freeman	2	3	7	0	8%	-6.6
Jacob Tamme	2	2	3	1	5%	1.0
Levine Toilolo	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Keanu Neal	6	3	0	0
Ricardo Allen	3	2	0	0
LaRoy Reynolds	4	0	0	0
Deion Jones	3	1	0	0
Philip Wheeler	2	2	0	0
Sean Weatherspoon	2	2	0	0
Kemal Ishmael	3	0	0	0
Robert Alford	3	0	2	3
Brian Poole	2	1	0	2
Derrick Shelby	1	1	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CAR -2.5
Closing total: 48.5
CAR moneyline: -138
ATL moneyline: +125

Panthers closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 81 — over by 32.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Georgia Dome
Roof / surface: dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: CAR 7 days · ATL 6 days
Coaches: Ron Rivera vs Dan Quinn

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.