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2016 Week 5 · Thu, Oct 6, 2016 · Levi's Stadium

Arizona CardinalsWinner

33

San Francisco 49ers

21

ARI -3.5 ✓O 42.5 ✓16 mph wind

Arizona Cardinals 33–21. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Blaine GabbertQB

18/31, 162 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-13.7 expected points added · -8.0% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Drew StantonQB

11/28, 124 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-6.0 expected points added · -14.5% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

David JohnsonRB

27 att, 157 yds, 2 TD

5.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Carlos HydeRB

22 att, 78 yds, 1 TD

-1.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SF

Jeremy KerleyWR

8/14 for 102 yds, 1 TD

45% of team targets · -2.2 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Larry FitzgeraldWR

6/8 for 81 yds, 2 TD

30% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Drew Stanton11/28124201-6.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
David Johnson271575.825.9
Andre Ellington6193.200.8
Drew Stanton2-2-1.000.0
Stepfan Taylor2-2-1.00-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Larry Fitzgerald6881230%6.1
David Johnson3628022%-1.8
John Brown1511019%-1.1
Jermaine Gresham11404%-0.2
Jaron Brown02007%-3.5
Michael Floyd030011%-2.6
J.J. Nelson01004%-0.5
Hakeem Valles01004%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Deone Bucannon940.000
Kevin Minter541.500
Markus Golden532.000
Tony Jefferson420.000
D.J. Swearinger511.001
Chandler Jones410.001
Calais Campbell312.011
Tyrann Mathieu300.001
Alex Okafor210.500
Marcus Cooper300.011

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Blaine Gabbert18/31162127-13.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Carlos Hyde22783.51-1.7
Blaine Gabbert10707.013.9
Mike Davis242.000.2
Shaun Draughn2-1-0.50-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jeremy Kerley814102145%-2.2
Carlos Hyde6636019%-0.3
Quinton Patton221606%4.0
Garrett Celek154016%-3.2
Blake Bell12406%-1.6
Torrey Smith01003%-0.4
Rod Streater01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nick Bellore640.500
Eric Reid600.000
Michael Wilhoite320.501
Quinton Dial410.000
Antoine Bethea310.001
Mike Purcell400.000
Jaquiski Tartt220.001
Rashard Robinson210.001
Tramaine Brock110.003
Aaron Lynch200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ARI -3.5
Closing total
42.5
ARI moneyline
-188
SF moneyline
+169

Cardinals closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 12.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 54 — over by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Levi's Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
75°F, wind 16 mph
Referee
Carl Cheffers
Rest
ARI 4 days · SF 4 days
Coaches
Bruce Arians vs Chip Kelly

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.