2016 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 16, 2016 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Carolina Panthers

New Orleans SaintsWinner

CAR -2.5 upsetO 53.5 ✓DomePanthers closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New Orleans Saints 41–38 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Drew BreesQB

34/49, 465 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT

19.4 expected points added · +3.6% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Cam NewtonQB

27/47, 322 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

5.1 expected points added · +1.9% completion over expected

Rushing · CAR

Jonathan StewartRB

19 att, 85 yds, 2 TD

0.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Mark IngramRB

16 att, 51 yds, 0 TD

-5.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Brandin CooksWR

7/9 for 173 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Receiving · CAR

Greg OlsenTE

6/7 for 94 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 7.8 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Carolina Panthers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cam Newton	27/47	322	2	1	2	5.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jonathan Stewart	19	85	4.5	2	0.6
Mike Tolbert	3	12	4.0	0	-0.0
Ted Ginn	2	6	3.0	0	-0.3
Cam Newton	2	1	0.5	1	0.8
Fozzy Whittaker	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Greg Olsen	6	7	94	0	15%	7.8
Kelvin Benjamin	8	14	86	0	30%	2.4
Ted Ginn	5	8	54	0	17%	2.7
Corey Brown	2	4	33	0	9%	1.5
Devin Funchess	2	6	28	1	13%	-3.2
Ed Dickson	3	4	23	1	9%	2.5
Fozzy Whittaker	1	2	4	0	4%	-1.5
Jonathan Stewart	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Luke Kuechly	6	5	0.0	0	0
Shaq Thompson	6	2	0.0	0	1
Thomas Davis	4	4	0.0	0	0
Kurt Coleman	5	2	0.0	0	0
Teddy Williams	5	1	0.0	1	1
Zack Sanchez	2	3	0.0	0	0
Kawann Short	2	1	0.0	0	0
Kony Ealy	3	0	0.0	0	0
Charles Johnson	1	2	0.5	0	0
Kyle Love	2	0	0.0	0	0

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Drew Brees	34/49	465	4	1	1	19.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Mark Ingram	16	51	3.2	0	-5.0
Daniel Lasco	2	5	2.5	0	-0.3
Travaris Cadet	1	3	3.0	0	-0.3
Brandin Cooks	1	2	2.0	0	-0.6
Coby Fleener	1	2	2.0	1	2.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Brandin Cooks	7	9	173	1	19%	6.1
Michael Thomas	5	5	78	1	10%	5.6
Coby Fleener	6	7	74	1	15%	5.3
Willie Snead	4	7	47	0	15%	2.8
Travaris Cadet	4	5	27	0	10%	0.7
Tommylee Lewis	2	3	24	0	6%	-0.0
Josh Hill	2	5	23	1	10%	2.0
Mark Ingram	2	3	9	0	6%	-0.9
Brandon Coleman	1	2	6	0	4%	-0.3
Daniel Lasco	1	2	4	0	4%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Craig Robertson	4	8	0.0	0	0
Kenny Vaccaro	2	5	0.0	0	0
Vonn Bell	4	3	0.0	0	0
Nate Stupar	3	3	0.0	0	0
Ken Crawley	4	1	0.0	0	2
Cameron Jordan	2	2	0.0	0	1
David Onyemata	3	0	0.0	0	0
Jairus Byrd	1	2	0.0	0	1
Nick Fairley	0	3	0.5	0	0
Sterling Moore	2	1	0.0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CAR -2.5
Closing total: 53.5
CAR moneyline: -139
NO moneyline: +126

Panthers closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 53.5; the game landed 79 — over by 25.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Walt Anderson
Rest: CAR 6 days · NO 14 days
Coaches: Ron Rivera vs Sean Payton

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.