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2016 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 16, 2016 · New Era Field

San Francisco 49ers

16

Buffalo BillsWinner

45

BUF -7.5 ✓O 44 ✓22 mph wind

Buffalo Bills 45–16 — never really in doubt late. Played in 22 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Colin KaepernickQB

13/29, 187 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-3.8 expected points added · -12.9% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

16/25, 179 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

7.1 expected points added · +6.4% completion over expected

Rushing · BUF

LeSean McCoyRB

19 att, 140 yds, 3 TD

7.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

8 att, 68 yds, 0 TD

-0.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SF

Torrey SmithWR

3/7 for 76 yds, 1 TD

25% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Charles ClayTE

5/7 for 52 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 3.8 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Colin Kaepernick13/29187103-3.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Colin Kaepernick8668.308.4
Carlos Hyde14523.70-3.4
Mike Davis5132.60-4.9
Shaun Draughn122.00-0.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Torrey Smith3776125%2.6
Quinton Patton4752025%0.7
Vance McDonald222507%3.0
Rod Streater111604%2.2
Jeremy Kerley2712025%-6.2
Mike Davis136011%-0.6
Shaun Draughn01004%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nick Bellore830.000
Eric Reid610.000
DeForest Buckner342.000
Michael Wilhoite410.000
Rashard Robinson400.000
Antoine Bethea400.000
Ahmad Brooks220.000
Tramaine Brock400.001
Keith Reaser300.001
Eli Harold120.000

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyrod Taylor16/251792037.1
EJ Manuel0/20000-2.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
LeSean McCoy191407.437.9
Tyrod Taylor8688.50-0.0
Mike Gillislee66110.214.5
Jonathan Williams5214.20-4.4
EJ Manuel3113.700.8
Robert Woods166.00-0.4
Reggie Bush263.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Charles Clay5752028%3.8
Robert Woods5644124%4.0
Justin Hunter1330112%-0.3
Nick O'Leary222908%2.3
Marquise Goodwin2422016%-0.3
LeSean McCoy12208%-1.0
Jerome Felton01004%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zach Brown531.000
Corey Graham530.000
Preston Brown330.000
Nickell Robey400.001
Aaron Williams210.000
Ronald Darby300.001
Leger Douzable210.000
Jerry Hughes210.000
Stephon Gilmore200.001
Kyle Williams110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BUF -7.5
Closing total
44
SF moneyline
+269
BUF moneyline
-305

Bills closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 29.

Total closed 44; the game landed 61 — over by 17.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
New Era Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · a turf
Kickoff weather
72°F, wind 22 mph
Referee
Gene Steratore
Rest
SF 10 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches
Chip Kelly vs Rex Ryan

Wind at 22 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.