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2016 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 30, 2016 · New Era Field

New England PatriotsWinner

41

Buffalo Bills

25

NE -5.5 ✓O 48 ✓

New England Patriots 41–25.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Tom BradyQB

22/33, 315 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

21.3 expected points added · +5.0% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

19/38, 183 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-12.3 expected points added · -6.8% completion over expected

Rushing · BUF

Mike GillisleeRB

12 att, 85 yds, 1 TD

3.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

5 att, 48 yds, 1 TD

4.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Rob GronkowskiTE

5/7 for 109 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 8.5 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Chris HoganWR

4/4 for 91 yds, 1 TD

12% of team targets · 10.4 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady22/3331540421.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
LeGarrette Blount18432.41-4.6
Tom Brady11515.002.0
James White2157.500.4
Julian Edelman100.00-0.8
Jimmy Garoppolo1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rob Gronkowski57109121%8.5
Chris Hogan4491112%10.4
Julian Edelman4837124%2.3
Martellus Bennett4535015%1.3
Danny Amendola3429112%5.4
James White2514015%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Dont'a Hightower320.000
Elandon Roberts410.000
Patrick Chung410.000
Devin McCourty500.001
Logan Ryan310.000
Malcolm Butler310.000
Chris Long400.000
Jamie Collins210.000
Eric Rowe300.000
Trey Flowers212.000

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyrod Taylor19/38183001-12.3
EJ Manuel1/2350012.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Mike Gillislee12857.113.4
Tyrod Taylor5489.614.2
Colton Schmidt11616.004.1
Brandon Tate11414.002.0
Jonathan Williams5122.41-0.0
Reggie Bush2-8-4.00-2.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Walt Powell3859021%0.7
Robert Woods4750018%-2.4
Reggie Bush233408%1.1
Jerome Felton232608%0.5
Brandon Tate231708%1.2
Nick O'Leary111003%1.5
Mike Gillislee33908%-1.9
Justin Hunter157013%-1.9
Charles Clay266015%-5.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zach Brown541.000
Robert Blanton530.000
Preston Brown511.000
Lerentee McCray230.000
Kevon Seymour300.000
Shaq Lawson121.000
Adolphus Washington300.000
Nickell Robey110.000
Ronald Darby200.001
Brandon Spikes110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NE -5.5
Closing total
48
NE moneyline
-235
BUF moneyline
+210

Patriots closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 16.

Total closed 48; the game landed 66 — over by 18.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
New Era Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · a turf
Kickoff weather
49°F, wind 9 mph
Referee
John Parry
Rest
NE 7 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches
Bill Belichick vs Rex Ryan

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.