2016 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 6, 2016 · Lambeau Field

Indianapolis ColtsWinner

Green Bay Packers

GB -7.5 upsetO 52 ✓Packers closed -7.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Indianapolis Colts 31–26.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Aaron RodgersQB

26/43, 297 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

5.9 expected points added · +1.6% completion over expected

Passing · IND

Andrew LuckQB

23/36, 281 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

4.6 expected points added · +1.5% completion over expected

Rushing · IND

Frank GoreRB

19 att, 60 yds, 2 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Ty MontgomeryWR

7 att, 53 yds, 0 TD

1.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Jordy NelsonWR

7/13 for 94 yds, 1 TD

31% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Receiving · IND

T.Y. HiltonWR

6/8 for 82 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Andrew Luck	23/36	281	1	2	2	4.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Frank Gore	19	60	3.2	2	-0.2
Andrew Luck	7	15	2.1	0	-3.7
Robert Turbin	2	10	5.0	0	0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
T.Y. Hilton	6	8	82	0	22%	4.8
Jack Doyle	5	9	61	0	25%	-3.2
Donte Moncrief	3	6	55	1	17%	4.3
Phillip Dorsett	2	4	28	0	11%	-1.1
Dwayne Allen	1	2	15	0	6%	1.4
Robert Turbin	2	3	13	0	8%	-0.1
Frank Gore	2	2	11	0	6%	0.7
Josh Ferguson	1	1	9	0	3%	1.2
Erik Swoope	1	1	7	0	3%	0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
D'Qwell Jackson	6	1	0	0
Clayton Geathers	6	1	0	1
Arthur Jones	2	4	0	0
T.J. Green	4	1	0	0
Vontae Davis	4	0	0	0
Rashaan Melvin	4	0	0	1
Edwin Jackson	3	1	0	0
Darius Butler	1	1	1	1
Patrick Robinson	2	0	0	0
Josh McNary	1	1	0	0

Green Bay Packers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Aaron Rodgers	26/43	297	3	1	3	5.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ty Montgomery	7	53	7.6	1.1
Aaron Rodgers	6	43	7.2	0.3
Don Jackson	4	16	4.0	-0.3
Aaron Ripkowski	2	4	2.0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jordy Nelson	7	13	94	1	31%	4.3
Richard Rodgers	6	10	64	0	24%	1.9
Davante Adams	4	8	41	1	19%	-3.6
Ty Montgomery	3	3	38	0	7%	4.6
Jeff Janis	1	2	25	0	5%	0.5
Justin Perillo	2	2	18	0	5%	1.5
Randall Cobb	2	2	14	1	5%	2.2
Aaron Ripkowski	1	1	3	0	2%	0.0
Geronimo Allison	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jake Ryan	9	1	0.0	0	1
Blake Martinez	5	3	0.0	0	0
Morgan Burnett	3	3	1.0	0	0
LaDarius Gunter	5	0	0.0	0	0
Micah Hyde	3	0	0.0	0	0
Joe Thomas	3	0	0.0	0	0
Ha Ha Clinton-Dix	1	2	0.5	2	2
Kyler Fackrell	3	0	0.0	0	1
Letroy Guion	2	1	0.0	0	0
Nick Perry	0	3	0.5	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: GB -7.5
Closing total: 52
IND moneyline: +297
GB moneyline: -340

Packers closed -7.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 52; the game landed 57 — over by 5.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lambeau Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 68°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: IND 7 days · GB 7 days
Coaches: Chuck Pagano vs Mike McCarthy