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2016 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2016 · University of Phoenix Stadium

San Francisco 49ers

20

Arizona CardinalsWinner

23

ARI -14 no coverU 46.5 ✓Dome

Arizona Cardinals 23–20 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Carson PalmerQB

30/49, 376 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-1.6 expected points added · +0.3% completion over expected

Passing · SF

Colin KaepernickQB

17/30, 210 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

4.8 expected points added · -3.6% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

David JohnsonRB

19 att, 55 yds, 1 TD

-4.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Colin KaepernickQB

10 att, 55 yds, 1 TD

1.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Larry FitzgeraldWR

12/18 for 132 yds, 0 TD

38% of team targets · 2.5 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Michael FloydWR

5/6 for 101 yds, 0 TD

13% of team targets · 5.6 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Colin Kaepernick17/302101034.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Colin Kaepernick10555.511.9
DuJuan Harris5142.80-1.6
Carlos Hyde13141.10-6.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jeremy Kerley7771123%8.4
Quinton Patton3952030%-2.8
Vance McDonald4650020%4.6
Torrey Smith2426013%0.9
Rod Streater121107%0.2
Carlos Hyde01003%-0.4
Chris Harper01003%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Antoine Bethea720.000
Jimmie Ward700.004
Tramaine Brock510.002
Ahmad Brooks410.000
Gerald Hodges500.011
Eric Reid410.012
Nick Bellore310.000
Keith Reaser300.002
Dontae Johnson300.000
DeForest Buckner301.000

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Carson Palmer30/49376122-1.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
David Johnson19552.91-4.7
Carson Palmer11616.002.5
John Brown11010.000.5
Andre Ellington2-1-0.50-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Larry Fitzgerald1218132038%2.5
Michael Floyd56101013%5.6
David Johnson5746115%3.8
Jermaine Gresham4638013%0.7
John Brown243008%-3.8
J.J. Nelson2629013%-8.5
Hakeem Valles01002%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Marcus Cooper510.000
Tony Jefferson600.000
Deone Bucannon510.001
Justin Bethel310.001
Chandler Jones402.000
Patrick Peterson400.000
Kevin Minter300.000
D.J. Swearinger300.000
Josh Mauro120.000
Calais Campbell211.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ARI -14
Closing total
46.5
SF moneyline
+671
ARI moneyline
-850

Cardinals closed -14, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 43 — under by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
University of Phoenix Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
SF 7 days · ARI 14 days
Coaches
Chip Kelly vs Bruce Arians

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.