2016 Week 11 · Thu, Nov 17, 2016 · Bank of America Stadium

New Orleans Saints

Carolina PanthersWinner

CAR -3.5 no coverU 52.5 ✓Panthers closed -3.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Carolina Panthers 23–20 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Drew BreesQB

35/44, 285 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-0.1 expected points added · +8.6% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Cam NewtonQB

14/33, 192 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-2.0 expected points added · -14.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NO

Tim HightowerRB

12 att, 69 yds, 0 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CAR

Jonathan StewartRB

18 att, 31 yds, 1 TD

-4.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Michael ThomasWR

5/5 for 68 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Receiving · NO

Tim HightowerRB

8/9 for 57 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Drew Brees	35/44	285	2	1	3	-0.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Tim Hightower	12	69	5.8	1.3
Mark Ingram	7	28	4.0	-1.4
Brandin Cooks	2	7	3.5	-0.6
John Kuhn	2	3	1.5	0.1
Drew Brees	2	0	0.0	1.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Michael Thomas	5	5	68	0	11%	1.9
Tim Hightower	8	9	57	0	20%	2.4
Mark Ingram	3	4	47	0	9%	2.4
Brandin Cooks	7	8	42	0	18%	4.0
Willie Snead	4	5	33	0	11%	1.1
Coby Fleener	3	5	17	1	11%	-3.7
John Kuhn	2	2	9	0	5%	-0.1
Brandon Coleman	1	2	9	1	5%	0.9
Marcus Murphy	1	1	3	0	2%	-0.2
John Phillips	1	1	0	0	2%	-0.5
Josh Hill	0	2	0	0	5%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Craig Robertson	3	6	0.0	0
Vonn Bell	2	5	0.0	1
Sterling Moore	4	1	0.0	0
Nate Stupar	2	3	1.0	0
Kenny Vaccaro	1	4	0.0	0
Dannell Ellerbe	2	2	1.0	0
B.W. Webb	2	2	0.0	1
Paul Kruger	1	3	0.0	0
Cameron Jordan	1	2	0.0	1
Darryl Tapp	1	2	0.0	0

Carolina Panthers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cam Newton	14/33	192	1	0	2	-2.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jonathan Stewart	18	31	1.7	1	-4.4
Ted Ginn	1	13	13.0	0	1.3
Cam Newton	5	7	1.4	0	0.0
Fozzy Whittaker	1	0	0.0	0	-0.2
Mike Tolbert	2	-1	-0.5	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Kelvin Benjamin	3	4	56	0	13%	3.1
Ted Ginn	3	4	46	1	13%	3.7
Greg Olsen	4	7	33	0	22%	2.7
Devin Funchess	2	7	32	0	22%	-1.8
Mike Tolbert	1	2	17	0	6%	0.3
Jonathan Stewart	1	4	8	0	13%	-1.4
Corey Brown	0	3	0	0	9%	-2.5
Ed Dickson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Luke Kuechly	8	6	0.0	0	1
Daryl Worley	6	3	0.0	0	0
Kurt Coleman	6	2	0.0	1	1
Thomas Davis	4	4	0.0	0	0
James Bradberry	3	4	0.0	0	0
Tre Boston	3	1	0.0	0	1
Shaq Thompson	1	3	0.0	0	0
Robert McClain	1	2	0.0	0	0
Mario Addison	2	1	2.0	0	0
Leonard Johnson	3	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CAR -3.5
Closing total: 52.5
NO moneyline: +166
CAR moneyline: -184

Panthers closed -3.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 52.5; the game landed 43 — under by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 63°F, wind 6 mph
Referee: Peter Morelli
Rest: NO 4 days · CAR 4 days
Coaches: Sean Payton vs Ron Rivera

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.