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2016 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 11, 2016 · Lucas Oil Stadium

Houston TexansWinner

22

Indianapolis Colts

17

IND -6.5 upsetU 47.5 ✓Dome

Houston Texans 22–17.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · IND

Andrew LuckQB

24/45, 276 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-9.4 expected points added · -10.4% completion over expected

Passing · HOU

Brock OsweilerQB

14/24, 147 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-5.6 expected points added · +0.4% completion over expected

Rushing · HOU

Lamar MillerRB

21 att, 107 yds, 1 TD

2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · HOU

Alfred BlueRB

16 att, 55 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · IND

T.Y. HiltonWR

9/13 for 115 yds, 1 TD

30% of team targets · 5.4 expected points added

Receiving · IND

Jack DoyleTE

5/6 for 55 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · -3.8 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Brock Osweiler14/24147012-5.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Lamar Miller211075.112.5
Alfred Blue16553.40-1.0
Akeem Hunt11919.001.8
Jonathan Grimes166.00-0.3
Brock Osweiler2-2-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeAndre Hopkins2433017%0.5
C.J. Fiedorowicz3732030%-5.9
Ryan Griffin222309%1.9
Will Fuller2422017%0.8
Keith Mumphery221609%0.6
Lamar Miller111504%1.4
Jonathan Grimes12609%-0.9
Alfred Blue11004%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Andrew Luck24/45276221-9.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Frank Gore10414.10-1.6
Andrew Luck23216.002.9
Robert Turbin3103.300.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
T.Y. Hilton913115130%5.4
Jack Doyle5655014%-3.8
Frank Gore223315%3.5
Robert Turbin4733016%0.3
Chester Rogers122105%1.5
Phillip Dorsett3819018%-2.1
Dwayne Allen02005%-6.2
Donte Moncrief04009%-2.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Edwin Jackson370.000
Antonio Morrison360.000
Arthur Jones440.000
Mike Adams610.000
Rashaan Melvin330.001
Hassan Ridgeway141.000
David Parry310.000
Trent Cole311.000
Erik Walden310.000
Josh McNary210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
IND -6.5
Closing total
47.5
HOU moneyline
+239
IND moneyline
-270

Colts closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 39 — under by 8.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lucas Oil Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
HOU 7 days · IND 6 days
Coaches
Bill O'Brien vs Chuck Pagano

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.