2016 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 11, 2016 · Raymond James Stadium

New Orleans Saints

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

TB -2 ✓U 52 ✓Buccaneers closed -2 and covered, winning by 5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16–11.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Drew BreesQB

25/41, 257 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT

-4.8 expected points added · -1.2% completion over expected

Passing · TB

Jameis WinstonQB

16/26, 184 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

2.9 expected points added · +0.4% completion over expected

Rushing · TB

Doug MartinRB

23 att, 66 yds, 1 TD

-5.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Tim HightowerRB

6 att, 31 yds, 0 TD

0.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Willie SneadWR

6/8 for 85 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 2.1 expected points added

Receiving · NO

Brandin CooksWR

5/10 for 61 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Drew Brees	25/41	257	0	3	1	-4.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Tim Hightower	6	31	5.2	0.5
Mark Ingram	7	14	2.0	-3.0
Drew Brees	1	2	2.0	1.6
John Kuhn	1	0	0.0	-1.2
Travaris Cadet	1	-1	-1.0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Willie Snead	6	8	85	20%	2.1
Brandin Cooks	5	10	61	24%	2.2
Brandon Coleman	5	8	47	20%	-4.0
Travaris Cadet	4	5	30	12%	0.9
Mark Ingram	1	2	9	5%	0.4
Tim Hightower	1	2	8	5%	-0.4
John Phillips	1	1	8	2%	0.6
Coby Fleener	1	3	6	7%	-3.4
John Kuhn	1	2	3	5%	-2.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jairus Byrd	1	6	0.0	0
Roman Harper	5	1	0.0	0
Vonn Bell	2	4	0.5	1
Nick Fairley	5	0	1.0	0
Cameron Jordan	2	3	0.5	0
Stephone Anthony	3	2	0.0	0
Dannell Ellerbe	4	0	0.0	0
Paul Kruger	2	0	0.0	0
Nate Stupar	2	0	0.0	0
Delvin Breaux	2	0	0.0	1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jameis Winston	16/26	184	0	0	2	2.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Doug Martin	23	66	2.9	1	-5.6
Charles Sims	4	17	4.3	0	-0.7
Jameis Winston	5	16	3.2	0	0.4
Josh Huff	1	5	5.0	0	0.2
Jacquizz Rodgers	2	0	0.0	0	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Cameron Brate	4	5	47	19%	3.7
Mike Evans	4	8	42	31%	0.8
Charles Sims	3	4	33	15%	2.3
Doug Martin	2	2	19	8%	-0.2
Josh Huff	1	2	17	8%	0.8
Russell Shepard	1	3	17	12%	-1.0
Brandon Myers	1	1	9	4%	0.2
Freddie Martino	0	1	0	4%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Keith Tandy	7	1	0.0	1	3
Lavonte David	5	0	0.0	0	0
Bradley McDougald	4	1	0.0	0	1
Kwon Alexander	4	1	0.0	0	1
Javien Elliott	4	0	0.0	0	0
Vernon Hargreaves	3	0	0.0	1	1
Robert Ayers	3	0	1.0	0	0
Daryl Smith	2	0	0.0	0	0
Clinton McDonald	1	1	0.0	0	0
Gerald McCoy	1	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: TB -2
Closing total: 52
NO moneyline: +116
TB moneyline: -128

Buccaneers closed -2 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 52; the game landed 27 — under by 25.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 79°F, wind 9 mph
Referee: Walt Anderson
Rest: NO 7 days · TB 7 days
Coaches: Sean Payton vs Dirk Koetter

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.