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2016 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 18, 2016 · Soldier Field

Green Bay PackersWinner

30

Chicago Bears

27

GB -4.5 no coverO 40 ✓11°F

Green Bay Packers 30–27 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Matt BarkleyQB

30/43, 362 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT

4.8 expected points added · +9.7% completion over expected

Passing · GB

Aaron RodgersQB

19/31, 252 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

3.2 expected points added · +9.3% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Ty MontgomeryWR

16 att, 162 yds, 2 TD

8.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

Jordan HowardRB

17 att, 90 yds, 1 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Jordy NelsonWR

7/10 for 124 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 6.4 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

Deonte ThompsonWR

8/10 for 110 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aaron Rodgers19/312520043.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ty Montgomery1616210.128.3
Christine Michael44511.313.4
Aaron Rodgers3196.30-1.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jordy Nelson710124033%6.4
Jared Cook6885027%7.4
Davante Adams2625020%0.1
Richard Rodgers111003%0.6
Geronimo Allison11703%0.2
Ty Montgomery231010%-2.1
Randall Cobb01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quinten Rollins800.000
Jake Ryan610.000
Joe Thomas600.000
Ha Ha Clinton-Dix320.022
Julius Peppers311.000
Morgan Burnett400.000
Micah Hyde300.013
LaDarius Gunter300.000
Letroy Guion300.000
Mike Daniels210.000

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matt Barkley30/433622314.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jordan Howard17905.311.4
Jeremy Langford144.00-0.1
Ka'Deem Carey111.00-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Deonte Thompson810110023%6.1
Cameron Meredith913104030%4.0
Alshon Jeffery6989121%6.1
Jordan Howard442309%1.1
Jeremy Langford111802%1.2
Josh Bellamy131017%0.2
Daniel Brown12805%-2.6
Daniel Braverman01002%-5.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Cre'von LeBlanc700.001
John Timu600.000
Demontre Hurst501.000
Adrian Amos500.000
Nick Kwiatkoski500.000
Deon Bush500.001
Pernell McPhee302.000
Tracy Porter300.000
C.J. Wilson301.000
Matt Barkley100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -4.5
Closing total
40
GB moneyline
-225
CHI moneyline
+201

Packers closed -4.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 40; the game landed 57 — over by 17.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Soldier Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
11°F, wind 12 mph
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
GB 7 days · CHI 7 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs John Fox

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.