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2016 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 18, 2016 · NRG Stadium

Jacksonville Jaguars

20

Houston TexansWinner

21

HOU -3.5 no coverO 39.5 ✓Dome

Houston Texans 21–20 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · HOU

Tom SavageQB

23/36, 260 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

4.9 expected points added · +2.8% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Blake BortlesQB

12/28, 92 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-15.9 expected points added · -19.9% completion over expected

Rushing · HOU

Lamar MillerRB

22 att, 63 yds, 1 TD

-6.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · JAX

Chris IvoryRB

10 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

-1.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · HOU

DeAndre HopkinsWR

8/17 for 87 yds, 0 TD

36% of team targets · -6.0 expected points added

Receiving · HOU

Ryan GriffinTE

8/8 for 85 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Blake Bortles12/2892012-15.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Chris Ivory10444.40-1.5
T.J. Yeldon8283.50-1.4
Blake Bortles2-5-2.51-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
T.J. Yeldon5734025%-2.9
Bryan Walters2526018%-0.5
Allen Robinson2815029%-7.2
Neal Sterling111404%1.7
Ben Koyack12207%-1.2
Alex Ellis11104%-0.5
Chris Ivory01004%-0.5
Marqise Lee030011%-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Johnathan Cyprien1140.000
Paul Posluszny560.000
Telvin Smith620.011
Corey Grant310.000
Jalen Ramsey400.015
Tyson Alualu310.000
Peyton Thompson220.000
Abry Jones210.000
Malik Jackson110.001
Dan Skuta110.000

Houston Texans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Savage23/362600004.9
Brock Osweiler6/1148020-12.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Lamar Miller22632.91-6.1
Akeem Hunt3155.000.8
Jonathan Grimes133.00-0.1
Alfred Blue111.00-0.5
Tom Savage300.00-2.7
Will Fuller1-3-3.00-1.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeAndre Hopkins81787036%-6.0
Ryan Griffin8885017%4.0
Will Fuller4842017%-3.4
Wendall Williams233406%0.7
Lamar Miller222604%1.4
Jonathan Grimes231206%-0.5
Keith Mumphery121104%-1.4
Stephen Anderson13706%-2.1
Alfred Blue11402%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Benardrick McKinney331.000
Jadeveon Clowney411.001
Quintin Demps410.012
Brennan Scarlett130.000
Andre Hal220.000
Brian Cushing120.000
Kareem Jackson120.000
Akeem Dent300.000
Ufomba Kamalu110.000
A.J. Bouye110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
HOU -3.5
Closing total
39.5
JAX moneyline
+166
HOU moneyline
-185

Texans closed -3.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 39.5; the game landed 41 — over by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
NRG Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Ed Hochuli
Rest
JAX 7 days · HOU 7 days
Coaches
Gus Bradley vs Bill O'Brien

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.